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一个具有密度依赖死亡率的流行病模型。

An epidemic model with a density-dependent death rate.

作者信息

Greenhalgh D

机构信息

Department of Mathematics, University of Strathclyde, Glasgow, UK.

出版信息

IMA J Math Appl Med Biol. 1990;7(1):1-26. doi: 10.1093/imammb/7.1.1.

Abstract

This paper deals with a mathematical model for a disease where the death rate depends on the number of people in the population. This sort of model would be suitable for diseases in developing countries or for diseases amongst animal and insect populations. We also assume that the population under consideration is regulated by the disease so that there is a mortality induced by the disease. We use a compartmental model and perform an equilibrium and stability analysis to find that there is a threshold condition. If the threshold is exceeded, then there is a unique equilibrium with disease present which is locally stable to small perturbations. We conclude by looking at several specific models and seeing how the results relate to previous work.

摘要

本文研究了一种疾病的数学模型,其中死亡率取决于种群中的人数。这种模型适用于发展中国家的疾病或动物及昆虫种群中的疾病。我们还假设所考虑的种群受疾病调控,因此疾病会导致死亡率。我们使用一个 compartmental 模型并进行平衡和稳定性分析,发现存在一个阈值条件。如果超过该阈值,则存在一个存在疾病的唯一平衡点,该平衡点对于小扰动是局部稳定的。我们通过研究几个具体模型并观察结果与先前工作的关系来得出结论。

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