Bren School of Environmental Science and Management, University of California, Santa Barbara, CA 93106, USA.
Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A. 2012 Mar 20;109(12):4696-701. doi: 10.1073/pnas.1114215109. Epub 2012 Mar 5.
Marine spatial planning (MSP) is an emerging responsibility of resource managers around the United States and elsewhere. A key proposed advantage of MSP is that it makes tradeoffs in resource use and sector (stakeholder group) values explicit, but doing so requires tools to assess tradeoffs. We extended tradeoff analyses from economics to simultaneously assess multiple ecosystem services and the values they provide to sectors using a robust, quantitative, and transparent framework. We used the framework to assess potential conflicts among offshore wind energy, commercial fishing, and whale-watching sectors in Massachusetts and identify and quantify the value from choosing optimal wind farm designs that minimize conflicts among these sectors. Most notably, we show that using MSP over conventional planning could prevent >$1 million dollars in losses to the incumbent fishery and whale-watching sectors and could generate >$10 billion in extra value to the energy sector. The value of MSP increased with the greater the number of sectors considered and the larger the area under management. Importantly, the framework can be applied even when sectors are not measured in dollars (e.g., conservation). Making tradeoffs explicit improves transparency in decision-making, helps avoid unnecessary conflicts attributable to perceived but weak tradeoffs, and focuses debate on finding the most efficient solutions to mitigate real tradeoffs and maximize sector values. Our analysis demonstrates the utility, feasibility, and value of MSP and provides timely support for the management transitions needed for society to address the challenges of an increasingly crowded ocean environment.
海洋空间规划(MSP)是美国和其他地区资源管理者的一项新兴责任。MSP 的一个主要优势是,它明确了资源利用和部门(利益相关者群体)价值之间的权衡取舍,但这样做需要评估权衡取舍的工具。我们将经济学中的权衡分析扩展到同时评估多个生态系统服务及其为各部门提供的价值,采用了一个强大、定量和透明的框架。我们使用该框架评估了马萨诸塞州海上风能、商业捕鱼和观鲸部门之间的潜在冲突,并确定和量化了选择最优风电场设计的价值,这些设计可以最大限度地减少这些部门之间的冲突。最值得注意的是,我们表明,与传统规划相比,MSP 可以防止渔业和观鲸部门损失超过 100 万美元,并为能源部门创造超过 1000 亿美元的额外价值。MSP 的价值随着考虑的部门数量的增加和管理区域的扩大而增加。重要的是,即使部门不以美元衡量(例如,保护),该框架也可以应用。明确权衡取舍可以提高决策的透明度,有助于避免由于感知到但薄弱的权衡取舍而导致的不必要冲突,并将辩论重点放在寻找最有效的解决方案上,以减轻真正的权衡取舍并最大化部门价值。我们的分析证明了 MSP 的实用性、可行性和价值,并为社会应对日益拥挤的海洋环境挑战所需的管理转型提供了及时的支持。