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利用个体心理评估中汇总数据建立的回归方程:对多元回归的扩展。

Using regression equations built from summary data in the psychological assessment of the individual case: extension to multiple regression.

机构信息

School of Psychology, University of Aberdeen, Aberdeen, United Kingdom.

出版信息

Psychol Assess. 2012 Dec;24(4):801-14. doi: 10.1037/a0027699. Epub 2012 Mar 26.

Abstract

Regression equations have many useful roles in psychological assessment. Moreover, there is a large reservoir of published data that could be used to build regression equations; these equations could then be employed to test a wide variety of hypotheses concerning the functioning of individual cases. This resource is currently underused because (a) not all psychologists are aware that regression equations can be built not only from raw data but also using only basic summary data for a sample, and (b) the computations involved are tedious and prone to error. In an attempt to overcome these barriers, Crawford and Garthwaite (2007) provided methods to build and apply simple linear regression models using summary statistics as data. In the present study, we extend this work to set out the steps required to build multiple regression models from sample summary statistics and the further steps required to compute the associated statistics for drawing inferences concerning an individual case. We also develop, describe, and make available a computer program that implements these methods. Although there are caveats associated with the use of the methods, these need to be balanced against pragmatic considerations and against the alternative of either entirely ignoring a pertinent data set or using it informally to provide a clinical "guesstimate." Upgraded versions of earlier programs for regression in the single case are also provided; these add the point and interval estimates of effect size developed in the present article.

摘要

回归方程在心理评估中有许多用途。此外,还有大量已发表的数据可用于构建回归方程;然后可以使用这些方程来测试关于个体案例功能的各种假设。由于以下原因,该资源尚未得到充分利用:(a)并非所有心理学家都知道回归方程不仅可以根据原始数据构建,也可以仅使用样本的基本汇总数据构建;(b)所涉及的计算繁琐且容易出错。为了克服这些障碍, Crawford 和 Garthwaite(2007)提供了使用汇总统计数据作为数据构建和应用简单线性回归模型的方法。在本研究中,我们扩展了这项工作,介绍了从样本汇总统计数据中构建多元回归模型所需的步骤,以及为了就单个案例进行推断而计算相关统计数据所需的进一步步骤。我们还开发、描述并提供了一个实现这些方法的计算机程序。尽管使用这些方法存在一些注意事项,但需要权衡实用考虑因素以及完全忽略相关数据集或非正式使用它提供临床“猜测”的替代方案。还提供了早期用于单个案例回归的程序的升级版本;这些版本增加了本文开发的效应大小的点估计和区间估计。

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