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[全生命周期无残疾预期寿命分析:从成年到老年]

[Analysis of disability-free life expectancy over the lifespan: from maturity to old age].

作者信息

Escobar Bravo Miguel Ángel, Puga González M Dolores, Martín Baranera Monserrat

机构信息

Universidad de Lleida, Lleida, España.

出版信息

Gac Sanit. 2012 Jul-Aug;26(4):330-5. doi: 10.1016/j.gaceta.2011.12.016. Epub 2012 Mar 29.

DOI:10.1016/j.gaceta.2011.12.016
PMID:22464022
Abstract

OBJECTIVE

To determine the life stages in which disability-free life expectancy is shortened before the age of 70 years.

METHOD

A retrospective longitudinal analysis was carried out in a cohort of 1,286 non-institutionalized people aged from 70 to 74 years old living in metropolitan areas. Disability was measured by instrumental and basic activities of daily living. Disability-free life expectancy was calculated. The Kaplan-Meier method was used to calculate survival probabilities.

RESULTS

The incidence of basic disability increased from 50 to 54 years old and progressively accelerated until the age of 65-69 years old when the probability of instrumental disability was slightly higher among men than among women (0.23 in men versus 0.19 in women). Disability-free survival was lower among women than among men both for all types of disability (LogRank = 5.80; p = 0.016) and for basic disability (LogRank = 4.315; p = 0.038).

CONCLUSIONS

This study reveals the importance of instrumental disability for domestic tasks among older men. Women had a lower probability of disability-free survival and were more likely to be affected by any type of disability as well as by basic disability. For both genders, there is a slight decrease in disability-free survival from the age of 40 to 60 years. From this age onwards, this decrease markedly accelerates.

摘要

目的

确定在70岁之前无残疾预期寿命缩短的生命阶段。

方法

对居住在大都市地区的1286名70至74岁非机构化人群进行回顾性纵向分析。通过工具性日常生活活动和基本日常生活活动来衡量残疾情况。计算无残疾预期寿命。采用Kaplan-Meier方法计算生存概率。

结果

基本残疾发生率从50岁开始上升,至54岁时逐渐加速,直至65至69岁,此时男性工具性残疾概率略高于女性(男性为0.23,女性为0.19)。无论对于所有类型的残疾(对数秩检验=5.80;p=0.016)还是基本残疾(对数秩检验=4.315;p=0.038),女性的无残疾生存率均低于男性。

结论

本研究揭示了工具性残疾对老年男性家务劳动的重要性。女性无残疾生存的概率较低,更有可能受到任何类型残疾以及基本残疾的影响。对于两性而言,40至60岁期间无残疾生存率略有下降。从这个年龄起,这种下降明显加速。

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