Department of Health Sciences, Section for Criminology, Mid Sweden University, Sundsvall, Sweden.
Law Hum Behav. 2012 Feb;36(1):60-7. doi: 10.1037/h0093948.
Intimate partner violence (IPV) is a crime that is present in all countries, seriously impacts victims, and demands a great deal of time and resources from the criminal justice system. The current study examined the use of the Spousal Assault Risk Assessment Guide, 2nd ed. (SARA; Kropp, Hart, Webster, & Eaves, 1995), a structured professional judgment risk assessment and management tool for IPV, by police officers in Sweden over a follow-up of 18 months. SARA risk assessments had significant predictive validity with respect to risk management recommendations made by police, as well as with recidivism as indexed by subsequent contacts with police. Risk management mediated the association between risk assessment and recidivism: High levels of intervention were associated with decreased recidivism in high risk cases, but with increased recidivism in low risk cases. The findings support the potential utility of police-based risk assessment and management of IPV, and in particular the belief that appropriately structured risk assessment and management decisions can prevent violence.
亲密伴侣暴力（IPV）是一种存在于所有国家的犯罪，严重影响受害者，并需要刑事司法系统投入大量的时间和资源。本研究在 18 个月的随访中，考察了瑞典警察使用配偶暴力风险评估指南，第 2 版（SARA；Kropp、Hart、Webster 和 Eaves，1995）的情况，这是一种针对 IPV 的结构化专业判断风险评估和管理工具。SARA 风险评估对于警察提出的风险管理建议以及后续与警察的接触所反映的累犯具有显著的预测有效性。风险管理中介了风险评估与累犯之间的关联：高水平的干预与高危案件中的累犯减少有关，但与低危案件中的累犯增加有关。研究结果支持基于警察的 IPV 风险评估和管理的潜在效用，特别是认为适当结构化的风险评估和管理决策可以预防暴力。
