ARC Centre of Excellence for Coral Reef Studies, James Cook University, Townsville, QLD 4811, Australia.
Curr Biol. 2012 Apr 24;22(8):736-41. doi: 10.1016/j.cub.2012.02.068. Epub 2012 Apr 12.
Coral reefs, one of the world's most complex and vulnerable ecosystems, face an uncertain future in coming decades as they continue to respond to anthropogenic climate change, overfishing, pollution, and other human impacts [1, 2]. Traditionally, marine macroecology is based on presence/absence data from taxonomic checklists or geographic ranges, providing a qualitative overview of spatial shifts in species richness that treats rare and common species equally [3, 4]. As a consequence, regional and long-term shifts in relative abundances of individual taxa are poorly understood. Here we apply a more rigorous quantitative approach to examine large-scale spatial variation in the species composition and abundance of corals on midshelf reefs along the length of Australia's Great Barrier Reef, a biogeographic region where species richness is high and relatively homogeneous [5]. We demonstrate that important functional components of coral assemblages "sample" space differently at 132 sites separated by up to 1740 km, leading to complex latitudinal shifts in patterns of absolute and relative abundance. The flexibility in community composition that we document along latitudinal environmental gradients indicates that climate change is likely to result in a reassortment of coral reef taxa rather than wholesale loss of entire reef ecosystems.
珊瑚礁是世界上最复杂和脆弱的生态系统之一,在未来几十年里,它们将继续应对人为气候变化、过度捕捞、污染和其他人类活动的影响,未来前景不容乐观[1,2]。传统上,海洋宏生态学基于分类清单或地理范围的存在/缺失数据,定性概述了物种丰富度的空间变化,平等对待稀有和常见物种[3,4]。因此,对个别分类群的区域和长期相对丰度变化了解甚少。在这里,我们应用更严格的定量方法来研究澳大利亚大堡礁长距离中层珊瑚礁物种组成和丰度的大规模空间变化,这是一个生物地理区域,物种丰富度高且相对均匀[5]。我们证明,在长达 1740 公里的距离内,由 132 个站点分隔的珊瑚组合的重要功能组成部分“采样”空间方式不同,导致绝对和相对丰度模式的复杂纬度变化。我们沿纬度环境梯度记录的群落组成的灵活性表明,气候变化很可能导致珊瑚礁生物分类的重新组合,而不是整个珊瑚礁生态系统的全面丧失。