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高速公路交通事故:中国面临新威胁。

Traffic accidents on expressways: new threat to China.

机构信息

School of Transportation, Southeast University, Nanjing, China.

出版信息

Traffic Inj Prev. 2012;13(3):230-8. doi: 10.1080/15389588.2011.645959.

Abstract

OBJECTIVE

As China is building one of the largest expressway systems in the world, expressway safety problems have become serious concerns to China. This article analyzed the trends in expressway accidents in China from 1995 to 2010 and examined the characteristics of these accidents.

METHODS

Expressway accident data were obtained from the Annual Report for Road Traffic Accidents published by the Ministry of Public Security of China. Expressway mileage data were obtained from the National Statistics Yearbook published by the National Bureau of Statistics of China. Descriptive statistical analyses were conducted based on these data.

RESULTS

Expressway deaths increased by 10.2-fold from 616 persons in 1995 to 6300 persons in 2010, and the average annual increase was 17.9 percent over the past 15 years, and the overall other road traffic deaths was -0.33 percent. China's expressway mileage accounted for only 1.85 percent of highway mileage driven in 2010, but expressway deaths made up 13.54 percent of highway traffic deaths. The average annual accident lethality rate [accident deaths/(accident deaths + accident injuries)] for China's expressways was 27.76 percent during the period 1995 to 2010, which was 1.33 times higher than the accident lethality rate of highway traffic accidents.

CONCLUSIONS

China's government should pay attention to expressway construction and safety interventions during the rapid development period of expressways. Related causes, such as geographic patterns, speeding, weather conditions, and traffic flow composition, need to be studied in the near future. An effective and scientific expressway safety management services system, composed of a speed monitoring system, warning system, and emergency rescue system, should be established in developed and underdeveloped provinces in China to improve safety on expressway.

摘要

目的

随着中国建设世界上最大的高速公路系统之一,高速公路安全问题已成为中国严重关切的问题。本文分析了 1995 年至 2010 年中国高速公路事故趋势,并研究了这些事故的特点。

方法

高速公路事故数据取自公安部发布的《道路交通事故年度报告》,高速公路里程数据取自国家统计局发布的《中国统计年鉴》。根据这些数据进行描述性统计分析。

结果

1995 年至 2010 年,高速公路死亡人数从 616 人增加到 6300 人,增加了 10.2 倍,过去 15 年的平均年增长率为 17.9%,而同期全国其他道路交通事故死亡人数下降了 0.33%。2010 年,中国高速公路里程仅占公路总里程的 1.85%,但高速公路死亡人数却占公路交通事故死亡人数的 13.54%。1995 年至 2010 年期间,中国高速公路的年平均事故致死率[事故死亡人数/(事故死亡人数+事故受伤人数)]为 27.76%,是公路交通事故致死率的 1.33 倍。

结论

中国政府应在高速公路快速发展时期关注高速公路建设和安全干预。近期需要研究相关原因,如地理模式、超速、天气条件和交通流组成等。应在中国发达和欠发达省份建立一个有效的、科学的高速公路安全管理服务系统,包括速度监测系统、预警系统和紧急救援系统,以提高高速公路安全性。

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