Mental Health Liaison Team, Royal Sussex County Hospital, Sussex Partnership NHS Foundation Trust, London, UK.
Br J Psychiatry. 2012 Jun;200(6):485-90. doi: 10.1192/bjp.bp.111.100404.
Climate change is expected to have significant effects on human health, partly through an increase in extreme events such as heatwaves. People with mental illness may be at particular risk.
To estimate risk conferred by high ambient temperature on patients with psychosis, dementia and substance misuse.
We applied time-series regression analysis to data from a nationally representative primary care cohort study. Relative risk of death per 1°C increase in temperature was calculated above a threshold.
Patients with mental illness showed an overall increase in risk of death of 4.9% (95% CI 2.0-7.8) per 1°C increase in temperature above the 93rd percentile of the annual temperature distribution. Younger patients and those with a primary diagnosis of substance misuse demonstrated greatest mortality risk.
The increased risk of death during hot weather in patients with psychosis, dementia and substance misuse has implications for public health strategies during heatwaves.
气候变化预计将对人类健康产生重大影响,部分原因是热浪等极端事件的增加。精神疾病患者可能面临特别的风险。
估计高温对精神病、痴呆和物质滥用患者的风险。
我们应用时间序列回归分析方法,对一项全国代表性的初级保健队列研究的数据进行了分析。计算了温度每升高 1°C 时死亡的相对风险,高于温度分布第 93 百分位数的阈值。
精神疾病患者的总体死亡率增加了 4.9%(95%CI 2.0-7.8),温度每升高 1°C,超过年度温度分布的第 93 百分位。年轻患者和主要诊断为物质滥用的患者表现出最大的死亡风险。
精神病、痴呆和物质滥用患者在炎热天气中死亡风险增加,这对热浪期间的公共卫生策略有影响。