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埃塞俄比亚东北部阿姆哈拉州赛因特地区社区生计对气候变化健康影响的脆弱性:一种综合指数方法。

Livelihood vulnerability to climate change health impacts among Amhara Sayint district community, northeastern Ethiopia: A composite index approach.

作者信息

Kassaw Genanew Mulugeta, Malede Asmamaw, Gebrehiwot Mesfin

机构信息

Department of Public Health, College of Health Sciences, Woldia University, Woldia, Ethiopia.

International Ph.D program in Innovative Technology of Biomedical Engineering and Medical Devices, Ming Chi University of Technology, New Taipei, Taiwan.

出版信息

Heliyon. 2024 Sep 20;10(18):e38166. doi: 10.1016/j.heliyon.2024.e38166. eCollection 2024 Sep 30.

Abstract

Climate change significantly impacts public health, affecting nearly everyone across the globe and contributing to approximately 10% of global mortality. Ethiopia is particularly vulnerable to the changing climate attributed impacts due to economic, and social determinants. While research on climate change is expanding, it often prioritizes its effects on agriculture. The impacts from public health perspective are frequently overlooked. We address this shortcoming by evaluating the vulnerability of the community in the district of Amhara Sayint, Amhara, northeastern Ethiopia, to the health impacts of climate change, and identifying factors involved. Data was collected using a community-based cross-sectional approach, involving 605 randomly selected households between July Twenty and September Five, 2022. The data collection process utilized a validated and pilot-tested questionnaire, which was administered through face-to-face interview with the aid of Kobo Collect toolbox. The community's vulnerability was assessed using the IPCC's framework of vulnerability. Household's Vulnerability status was then classified into three levels according to their Livelihood Vulnerability Index (LVI) score. A partial proportional oddsapproach of ordinal logistic regression model was used to identify factors associated with vulnerability to climate change attributed health impacts. Among the 605 respondents, 48% (95% CI: 44.1, 52.1) were identified as vulnerable, and about 4.6 % (95% CI: 3, 6.6) were classified as highly vulnerable. Wealth status (AOR = 1.8; 95 % CI: 1.2, 2.8), educational status (AOR = 2.8; 95% CI: 1.1, 7.3), marital status (AOR = 4.7, 95% CI: 1.6, 13.4), and home crowdedness (AOR = 2.9, 95% CI: 1.1, 8.1) significantly associated with vulnerability. Over half of the residents in the district wereeither being vulnerable or highly vulnerable to climate change attributed health impacts. Therefore, prioritizing prevention and preparedness along with conducting spatial analysis to identify high-risk areas for timely intervention, is essential.

摘要

气候变化对公众健康产生重大影响,影响着全球几乎每个人,并导致约10%的全球死亡率。由于经济和社会因素,埃塞俄比亚特别容易受到气候变化带来的影响。虽然关于气候变化的研究正在扩大,但它通常优先考虑其对农业的影响。从公共卫生角度来看,其影响常常被忽视。我们通过评估埃塞俄比亚东北部阿姆哈拉州赛因特区社区对气候变化健康影响的脆弱性,并确定其中涉及的因素,来解决这一缺陷。数据收集采用基于社区的横断面方法,涉及2022年7月20日至9月5日期间随机抽取的605户家庭。数据收集过程使用了经过验证和预测试的问卷,该问卷通过借助Kobo Collect工具箱进行面对面访谈来实施。使用政府间气候变化专门委员会(IPCC)的脆弱性框架评估社区的脆弱性。然后根据家庭的生计脆弱性指数(LVI)得分将家庭的脆弱性状况分为三个级别。使用序数逻辑回归模型的部分比例优势方法来确定与气候变化归因的健康影响脆弱性相关的因素。在605名受访者中,48%(95%置信区间:44.1,52.1)被确定为脆弱人群,约4.6%(95%置信区间:3,6.6)被归类为高度脆弱人群。财富状况(调整后比值比[AOR]=1.8;95%置信区间:1.2,2.8)、教育状况(AOR=2.8;95%置信区间:1.1,7.3)、婚姻状况(AOR=4.7,95%置信区间:1.6,13.4)和家庭拥挤程度(AOR=2.9,95%置信区间:1.1,8.1)与脆弱性显著相关。该地区超过一半的居民对气候变化归因的健康影响处于脆弱或高度脆弱状态。因此,优先进行预防和准备工作,并进行空间分析以确定高风险地区以便及时干预,至关重要。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/b531/11458980/e242dfa6f4c6/gr1.jpg

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