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经室间隔完整肺动脉闭锁根治术后患儿院内发病率和死亡率的危险因素:来自儿科心脏网络单心室重建试验的报告。

Risk factors for hospital morbidity and mortality after the Norwood procedure: A report from the Pediatric Heart Network Single Ventricle Reconstruction trial.

机构信息

Children's Hospital of Philadelphia, Philadelphia, PA, USA.

出版信息

J Thorac Cardiovasc Surg. 2012 Oct;144(4):882-95. doi: 10.1016/j.jtcvs.2012.05.019. Epub 2012 Jun 15.

DOI:10.1016/j.jtcvs.2012.05.019
PMID:22704284
原文链接:https://pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/articles/PMC4385520/
Abstract

OBJECTIVES

We sought to identify risk factors for mortality and morbidity during the Norwood hospitalization in newborn infants with hypoplastic left heart syndrome and other single right ventricle anomalies enrolled in the Single Ventricle Reconstruction trial.

METHODS

Potential predictors for outcome included patient- and procedure-related variables and center volume and surgeon volume. Outcome variables occurring during the Norwood procedure and before hospital discharge or stage II procedure included mortality, end-organ complications, length of ventilation, and hospital length of stay. Univariate and multivariable Cox regression analyses were performed with bootstrapping to estimate reliability for mortality.

RESULTS

Analysis included 549 subjects prospectively enrolled from 15 centers; 30-day and hospital mortality were 11.5% (63/549) and 16.0% (88/549), respectively. Independent risk factors for both 30-day and hospital mortality included lower birth weight, genetic abnormality, extracorporeal membrane oxygenation (ECMO) and open sternum on the day of the Norwood procedure. In addition, longer duration of deep hypothermic circulatory arrest was a risk factor for 30-day mortality. Shunt type at the end of the Norwood procedure was not a significant risk factor for 30-day or hospital mortality. Independent risk factors for postoperative renal failure (n = 46), sepsis (n = 93), increased length of ventilation, and hospital length of stay among survivors included genetic abnormality, lower center/surgeon volume, open sternum, and post-Norwood operations.

CONCLUSIONS

Innate patient factors, ECMO, open sternum, and lower center/surgeon volume are important risk factors for postoperative mortality and/or morbidity during the Norwood hospitalization.

摘要

目的

我们旨在确定接受单心室重建试验的患有左心发育不全综合征和其他单右心室畸形新生儿在 Norwood 住院期间的死亡和发病的风险因素。

方法

潜在的预后预测因子包括患者和手术相关变量以及中心和外科医生的容量。Norwood 手术期间和出院前或二期手术前发生的结局变量包括死亡率、终末器官并发症、通气时间和住院时间。使用 Bootstrap 进行单变量和多变量 Cox 回归分析,以估计死亡率的可靠性。

结果

分析包括从 15 个中心前瞻性纳入的 549 例患者;30 天和住院死亡率分别为 11.5%(63/549)和 16.0%(88/549)。30 天和住院死亡率的独立危险因素包括出生体重低、遗传异常、体外膜肺氧合(ECMO)和 Norwood 手术当天开胸。此外,深低温停循环时间较长是 30 天死亡率的危险因素。Norwood 手术结束时的分流类型不是 30 天或住院死亡率的显著危险因素。术后肾功能衰竭(n=46)、败血症(n=93)、通气时间延长和幸存者住院时间延长的独立危险因素包括遗传异常、中心/外科医生容量较低、开胸和 Norwood 术后手术。

结论

固有患者因素、ECMO、开胸和低中心/外科医生容量是 Norwood 住院期间术后死亡率和/或发病率的重要危险因素。

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The complex relationship between center volume and outcome in patients undergoing the Norwood operation.在接受 Norwood 手术的患者中,中心体积与结局之间的复杂关系。
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Multi-Source Conformal Inference Under Distribution Shift.分布偏移下的多源共形推理
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