Department of Emergency Medicine, Beth Israel Deaconess Medical Center, Boston, MA 02215, USA.
Minerva Anestesiol. 2012 Dec;78(12):1341-7. Epub 2012 Jun 28.
Cardiac arrest is a major public health issue affecting an estimated 300,000 patients in the United States each year. The American Heart Association has recommended the Simplified Acute Physiology Score II and III (SAPS) to assess severity of illness and to predict outcomes in the post-cardiac arrest population. Our objective was to determine if SAPS II and SAPS III scores predict outcomes in post-cardiac arrest patients.
We performed an observational study of patients suffering cardiac arrest with return of spontaneous circulation. Data were collected prospectively and recorded in the Utstein style. SAPS II and SAPS III scores were calculated for each subject. Logistic regression was used to assess the relationship between the calculated severity of illness score and in-hospital mortality and poor neurologic outcome.
A total of 274 subjects were identified for analysis. SAPS II was a significant predictor of in-hospital mortality (OR: 1.05, 95% CI: 1.03-1.07) and poor-neurologic outcome (OR: 1.06, 95%CI: 1.04-1.08). SAPS III was a significant predictor of in-hospital mortality (OR: 1.04, 95%CI: 1.02-1.06) and poor neurologic outcome (OR: 1.04, 95%CI: 1.02-1.05). Both scores had moderate ability to discriminate survivors from non-survivors (SAPS II AUC: 0.70; SAPS III AUC: 0.66), and good neurologic outcome from poor neurologic outcome (SAPS II AUC: 0.71; SAPS III AUC: 0.65).
SAPS II and SAPS III scores have only moderate discrimination and are not clinically relevant tools to predict outcome in post-cardiac arrest patients. Further study is needed to identify a more reliable severity of illness score in the post-arrest population.
心脏骤停是一个重大的公共卫生问题,每年影响美国约 30 万名患者。美国心脏协会建议使用简化急性生理学评分 II 和 III(SAPS)来评估疾病的严重程度,并预测心脏骤停后患者的预后。我们的目的是确定 SAPS II 和 SAPS III 评分是否可以预测心脏骤停后患者的预后。
我们对有自主循环恢复的心脏骤停患者进行了一项观察性研究。数据是前瞻性收集的,并按照 Utstein 风格记录。为每个受试者计算 SAPS II 和 SAPS III 评分。使用逻辑回归评估计算出的疾病严重程度评分与院内死亡率和不良神经结局之间的关系。
共确定了 274 名受试者进行分析。SAPS II 是院内死亡率的显著预测因子(OR:1.05,95%CI:1.03-1.07)和不良神经结局(OR:1.06,95%CI:1.04-1.08)。SAPS III 是院内死亡率的显著预测因子(OR:1.04,95%CI:1.02-1.06)和不良神经结局(OR:1.04,95%CI:1.02-1.05)。这两个评分都有中度的能力来区分幸存者和非幸存者(SAPS II AUC:0.70;SAPS III AUC:0.66),以及良好的神经结局和不良的神经结局(SAPS II AUC:0.71;SAPS III AUC:0.65)。
SAPS II 和 SAPS III 评分的区分度仅为中等,并且不是预测心脏骤停后患者预后的临床相关工具。需要进一步研究以确定在心脏骤停后人群中更可靠的疾病严重程度评分。