Population Biology, Ecology, and Evolution Program, Emory University, Atlanta, Georgia, United States of America.
PLoS One. 2012;7(6):e37254. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0037254. Epub 2012 Jun 29.
Surveys of wildlife host-pathogen systems often document clear seasonal variation in transmission; conclusions concerning the relationship between host population density and transmission vary. In the field, effects of seasonality and population density on natural disease cycles are challenging to measure independently, but laboratory experiments may poorly reflect what happens in nature. Outdoor manipulative experiments are an alternative that controls for some variables in a relatively natural environment. Using outdoor enclosures, we tested effects of North American deermouse (Peromyscus maniculatus) population density and season on transmission dynamics of Sin Nombre hantavirus. In early summer, mid-summer, late summer, and fall 2007-2008, predetermined numbers of infected and uninfected adult wild deermice were released into enclosures and trapped weekly or bi-weekly. We documented 18 transmission events and observed significant seasonal effects on transmission, wounding frequency, and host breeding condition. Apparent differences in transmission incidence or wounding frequency between high- and low-density treatments were not statistically significant. However, high host density was associated with a lower proportion of males with scrotal testes. Seasonality may have a stronger influence on disease transmission dynamics than host population density, and density effects cannot be considered independent of seasonality.
对野生动物宿主-病原体系统的调查经常记录到传播明显的季节性变化;关于宿主种群密度与传播之间关系的结论存在差异。在野外,季节性和种群密度对自然疾病周期的影响很难独立测量,但实验室实验可能无法很好地反映自然界中发生的情况。户外操作实验是一种替代方法,可以在相对自然的环境中控制一些变量。使用户外围栏,我们测试了北美白足鼠(Peromyscus maniculatus)种群密度和季节对辛诺波病毒传播动态的影响。在 2007-2008 年的初夏、仲夏、夏末和秋季,预先确定数量的感染和未感染的成年野生白足鼠被释放到围栏中,并每周或每两周进行一次诱捕。我们记录了 18 次传播事件,并观察到传播、创伤频率和宿主繁殖状况存在显著的季节性影响。高、低密度处理之间的传播发生率或创伤频率差异没有统计学意义。然而,高宿主密度与具有阴囊睾丸的雄性比例较低有关。季节性可能对疾病传播动态的影响比宿主种群密度更大,并且不能将密度效应视为独立于季节性。