South West London Health Protection Unit, Tooting, London, UK.
Epidemiol Infect. 2013 May;141(5):931-40. doi: 10.1017/S0950268812001458. Epub 2012 Jul 17.
In September 2009, an outbreak of Salmonella enterica serovar Enteritidis affected 327 of 1419 inmates at a London prison. We applied a cohort design using aggregated data from the kitchen about portions of food distributed, aligned this with individual food histories from 124 cases (18 confirmed, 106 probable) and deduced the exposures of those remaining well. Results showed that prisoners eating egg cress rolls were 26 times more likely to be ill [risk ratio 25.7, 95% confidence interval (CI) 15.5-42.8, P<0.001]. In a case/non-case multivariable analysis the adjusted odds ratio for egg cress rolls was 41.1 (95% CI 10.3-249.7, P<0.001). The epidemiological investigation was strengthened by environmental and microbiological investigations. This paper outlines an approach to investigations in large complex settings where aggregate data for exposures may be available, and led to the development of guidelines for the management of future gastrointestinal outbreaks in prison settings.
2009 年 9 月,伦敦一所监狱爆发了沙门氏菌肠炎血清型肠炎,1419 名囚犯中有 327 人受到感染。我们采用了群组设计,利用厨房提供的食物分配部分的汇总数据,与 124 例(18 例确诊,106 例疑似)个体食物史进行了匹配,并推断了其余健康人群的暴露情况。结果表明,食用芝麻菜卷的囚犯患病的可能性是其他人的 26 倍[风险比 25.7,95%置信区间(CI)为 15.5-42.8,P<0.001]。在病例对照多变量分析中,芝麻菜卷的调整比值比为 41.1(95% CI 10.3-249.7,P<0.001)。通过环境和微生物学调查,加强了流行病学调查。本文概述了一种在存在暴露汇总数据的大型复杂环境中进行调查的方法,并制定了监狱环境中未来胃肠道暴发管理的指南。