Department of Epidemiology, Shanghai Cancer Institute, Renji Hospital, Shanghai Jiaotong University School of Medicine, Shanghai, China.
PLoS One. 2012;7(8):e42607. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0042607. Epub 2012 Aug 3.
BACKGROUND: Lack of cancer incidence information for adolescents and young adults led us to describe incidence trends within the young population of 15 to 49 year-olds in urban Shanghai between 1973 and 2005. METHODS: During 1973 to 2005, data on 43,009 (45.8%) male and 50,828 (54.2%) female cancer cases aged 15-49 years from the Shanghai Cancer Registry were analyzed. Five-year age-specific rates, world age-standardized rates, percent change (PC), and annual percent change (APC) were calculated using annual data on population size and its estimated age structure. RESULTS: During the 33-year study period, overall cancer incidence of adolescents and young adults among males marginally decreased by 0.5% per year (P<0.05). However, overall cancer incidence for females slightly increased by 0.8% per year (P<0.05). The leading cancer for males in rank were liver, stomach, lung, colorectal, and nasopharyngeal cancers and for females were breast, stomach, colorectal, thyroid, and ovarian cancers. Among specific sites, incidence rates significantly decreased for cancers of the esophagus, stomach, and liver in both sexes. In contrast, incidence rates significantly increased for kidney cancers, non-Hodgkin lymphoma, and brain and nervous system tumors in both sexes and increased for breast and ovarian cancers among females. CONCLUSIONS: Overall cancer incidence rates of adolescents and young adults decreased in males whereas they increased in females. Our findings suggest the importance of further epidemiology and etiologic studies to further elucidate factors contributing to the cancer incidence trends of adolescents and young adults in China.
背景:缺乏青少年和青年成年人的癌症发病信息,促使我们描述了 1973 年至 2005 年期间上海市区 15 至 49 岁人群的发病趋势。
方法:1973 年至 2005 年期间,上海癌症登记处共分析了 43009 例(45.8%)男性和 50828 例(54.2%)年龄在 15 至 49 岁的癌症患者的数据。使用人口规模及其估计年龄结构的年度数据计算了 5 年特定年龄发病率、世界年龄标准化发病率、变化百分比(PC)和年变化百分比(APC)。
结果:在 33 年的研究期间,男性青少年和青年成年人的总体癌症发病率每年略有下降 0.5%(P<0.05)。然而,女性的总体癌症发病率每年略有上升 0.8%(P<0.05)。男性排名靠前的癌症是肝癌、胃癌、肺癌、结直肠癌和鼻咽癌,女性则是乳腺癌、胃癌、结直肠癌、甲状腺癌和卵巢癌。在特定部位,男女食管癌、胃癌和肝癌的发病率显著下降。相比之下,男女肾癌、非霍奇金淋巴瘤、脑和神经系统肿瘤的发病率显著上升,女性乳腺癌和卵巢癌的发病率也有所上升。
结论:青少年和青年成年人的总体癌症发病率在男性中下降,而在女性中上升。我们的研究结果表明,需要进一步开展流行病学和病因学研究,以进一步阐明导致中国青少年和青年成年人癌症发病趋势的因素。
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