Holder H D, Wagenaar A C
Prevention Research Center, Berkeley, CA 94704.
Br J Addict. 1990 Dec;85(12):1615-25. doi: 10.1111/j.1360-0443.1990.tb01651.x.
Since the end of prohibition in the USA, only one state, Iowa, has eliminated its state retail monopoly of distilled spirits sales for off-premise consumption. In March 1987 all state retail stores were closed, and private establishments were licensed to sell distilled spirits. Interrupted time-series analyses of apparent spirits consumption in Iowa, controlling for nationwide sales trends over the past two decades, identified a statistically significant 9.5% increase in spirits sales following the policy change. While there was a corresponding 13.7% decline in wine sales, and no change in beer sales, privatization of spirits retail sales yielded a net increase in total alcohol consumption in Iowa. No changes were found in spirits sales in states bordering Iowa.
自美国禁酒令结束以来,只有爱荷华州这一个州取消了其对用于店外消费的蒸馏酒销售的州零售垄断。1987年3月,所有州立零售店均关闭,私人企业获得销售蒸馏酒的许可。对爱荷华州表观酒类消费量进行中断时间序列分析,并控制过去二十年的全国销售趋势,结果表明政策变化后酒类销售额有统计学意义的9.5%的增长。虽然葡萄酒销售额相应下降了13.7%,啤酒销售额没有变化,但蒸馏酒零售私有化使爱荷华州的酒精消费总量出现净增长。在与爱荷华州接壤的各州,酒类销售未发现变化。