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展示在棘手的环境问题上使用笨拙的决策分析方法的必要性和可行性。

A demonstration of the necessity and feasibility of using a clumsy decision analytic approach on wicked environmental problems.

机构信息

US Environmental Protection Agency, Region III (3EA10), Philadelphia, PA 19103, USA.

出版信息

Integr Environ Assess Manag. 2013 Jan;9(1):17-30. doi: 10.1002/ieam.1356. Epub 2012 Dec 4.

DOI:10.1002/ieam.1356
PMID:22893308
Abstract

Because controversy, conflict, and lawsuits frequently characterize US Environmental Protection Agency (USEPA) decisions, it is important that USEPA decision makers understand how to evaluate and then make decisions that have simultaneously science-based, social, and political implications. Air quality management is one category of multidimensional decision making at USEPA. The Philadelphia, Pennsylvania metropolitan area experiences unhealthy levels of ozone, fine particulate matter, and air toxics. Many ozone precursors are precursors for particulate matter and certain air toxics. Additionally, some precursors for particulate matter are air toxics. However, air quality management practices have typically evaluated these problems separately. This approach has led to the development of independent (and potentially counterproductive) implementation strategies. This is a methods article about the necessity and feasibility of using a clumsy approach on wicked problems, using an example case study. Air quality management in Philadelphia is a wicked problem. Wicked problems are those where stakeholders define or view the problem differently, there are many different ways to describe the problem (i.e., different dimensions or levels of abstraction), no efficient or optimal solutions exist, and they are often complicated by moral, political, or professional dimensions. The USEPA has developed the multicriteria integrated resource assessment (MIRA) decision analytic approach that engages stakeholder participation through transparency, transdisciplinary learning, and the explicit use of value sets; in other words, a clumsy approach. MIRA's approach to handling technical indicators, expert judgment, and stakeholder values makes it a potentially effective method for tackling wicked environmental problems.

摘要

由于美国环境保护署(USEPA)的决策经常存在争议、冲突和诉讼,因此,USEPA 的决策者了解如何评估并做出具有科学、社会和政治含义的决策非常重要。空气质量管理是 USEPA 多维决策的一个类别。宾夕法尼亚州费城大都市区的臭氧、细颗粒物和空气毒素含量都不健康。许多臭氧前体也是颗粒物和某些空气毒素的前体。此外,一些颗粒物前体也是空气毒素。然而,空气质量管理实践通常将这些问题分开评估。这种方法导致了独立的(可能适得其反)实施策略的发展。本文是一篇关于在棘手问题上使用笨拙方法的必要性和可行性的方法文章,采用了案例研究的方法。费城的空气质量管理是一个棘手的问题。棘手问题是指利益相关者对问题的定义或看法不同,有许多不同的方法来描述问题(即不同的维度或抽象层次),不存在有效或最优的解决方案,并且往往受到道德、政治或专业维度的影响。USEPA 开发了多标准综合资源评估(MIRA)决策分析方法,通过透明度、跨学科学习和明确使用价值体系来吸引利益相关者的参与;换句话说,一种笨拙的方法。MIRA 处理技术指标、专家判断和利益相关者价值的方法使其成为解决棘手环境问题的潜在有效方法。

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