National Heart Forum, London, England.
PLoS One. 2012;7(8):e39589. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0039589. Epub 2012 Aug 13.
Non-communicable diseases (NCDs) such as cardiovascular disease and stroke are a major public health concern across Latin America. A key modifiable risk factor for NCDs is overweight and obesity highlighting the need for policy to reduce prevalence rates and ameliorate rising levels of NCDs. A cross-sectional regression analysis was used to project BMI and related disease trends to 2050. We tested the extent to which interventions that decrease body mass index (BMI) have an effect upon the number of incidence cases avoided for each disease. Without intervention obesity trends will continue to rise across much of Latin America. Effective interventions are necessary if rates of obesity and related diseases are to be reduced.
非传染性疾病(NCDs),如心血管疾病和中风,是拉丁美洲主要的公共卫生关注点。NCD 的一个主要可改变风险因素是超重和肥胖,这突显了政策需要减少流行率并改善不断上升的 NCD 水平。使用横断面回归分析来预测 BMI 和相关疾病趋势到 2050 年。我们测试了降低体重指数(BMI)的干预措施对每种疾病避免的发病病例数量的影响程度。如果要降低肥胖和相关疾病的发病率,就必须采取有效的干预措施。