Department of AgroEcology, Rothamsted Research, Harpenden, Hertfordshire AL5 2JQ, United Kingdom.
Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A. 2012 Sep 11;109(37):14924-9. doi: 10.1073/pnas.1207255109. Epub 2012 Aug 27.
Little is known of the population dynamics of long-range insect migrants, and it has been suggested that the annual journeys of billions of nonhardy insects to exploit temperate zones during summer represent a sink from which future generations seldom return (the "Pied Piper" effect). We combine data from entomological radars and ground-based light traps to show that annual migrations are highly adaptive in the noctuid moth Autographa gamma (silver Y), a major agricultural pest. We estimate that 10-240 million immigrants reach the United Kingdom each spring, but that summer breeding results in a fourfold increase in the abundance of the subsequent generation of adults, all of which emigrate southward in the fall. Trajectory simulations show that 80% of emigrants will reach regions suitable for winter breeding in the Mediterranean Basin, for which our population dynamics model predicts a winter carrying capacity only 20% of that of northern Europe during the summer. We conclude not only that poleward insect migrations in spring result in major population increases, but also that the persistence of such species is dependent on summer breeding in high-latitude regions, which requires a fundamental change in our understanding of insect migration.
关于长距离昆虫迁徙者的种群动态,人们知之甚少,有人认为,每年数以十亿计的非耐寒昆虫在夏季迁徙到温带地区,这代表了一个未来很少有后代返回的汇点(“ pied Piper”效应)。我们结合昆虫雷达和地面灯光诱捕的数据,表明年度迁徙在重要农业害虫银纹夜蛾 Autographa gamma 中具有高度适应性。我们估计,每年春天有 1000 万到 2.4 亿移民到达英国,但夏季繁殖使下一代成虫的数量增加了四倍,所有这些成虫在秋季都向南迁徙。轨迹模拟表明,80%的移民将到达地中海盆地适合冬季繁殖的地区,我们的种群动态模型预测,冬季的承载能力仅为夏季北欧的 20%。我们的结论不仅是,春季向极地的昆虫迁徙导致了种群的大量增加,而且这些物种的生存也依赖于高纬度地区的夏季繁殖,这需要我们对昆虫迁徙有一个根本性的理解。