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帕金森病死亡率的变化模式。

The changing patterns of death rates in parkinsonism.

作者信息

Kurtzke J F, Murphy F M

机构信息

Neuroepidemiology Research Program, Veterans Administration Medical Center, Washington, DC 20422.

出版信息

Neurology. 1990 Jan;40(1):42-9. doi: 10.1212/wnl.40.1.42.

Abstract

Annual crude death rates due to parkinsonism in Denmark, 1956 to 1985, and the United States, 1950 to 1984, showed a consistent hierarchy, with white male rates greater than white female than black male than black female. Rates rose sharply in both lands and sexes between 1976 and 1984. Age-specific death rate curves for whites in the 1960s and 1980s were very similar between the countries with a regular male excess. Both countries drastically changed the configuration of all the death rate age curves in parallel fashion between the 2 periods: rates were now nearly twice those of the earlier interval for each sex, age, and race, and were then maximal at age 82 or 85+ as opposed to the prior peak at age 77 or 80. Age-adjusted rates did not consistently reflect this change, being markedly lower for US white females despite their age-specific rate increases. This discrepancy appears to be an artifact of changing population distributions which increasingly differ by age between sexes and countries over time. When the recent age-specific death rates were recalculated with the thesis that all deaths had occurred at ages 5 years younger, all the 1980s death rate configurations returned to those of the 1960s, with but modest increases at most ages. This is evidence that age at death, and thus survival, has increased at all ages by about 5 years since the introduction of levodopa, released in the US in 1970 and in Denmark in 1971.(ABSTRACT TRUNCATED AT 250 WORDS)

摘要

1956年至1985年丹麦以及1950年至1984年美国帕金森病的年粗死亡率呈现出一致的层级关系,即白人男性死亡率高于白人女性,高于黑人男性,高于黑人女性。1976年至1984年间,两国各性别死亡率均急剧上升。20世纪60年代和80年代,两国白人的年龄别死亡率曲线非常相似,男性死亡率均持续偏高。在这两个时期之间,两国所有死亡率年龄曲线的形态都以平行方式发生了巨大变化:现在各性别、年龄和种族的死亡率几乎是早期的两倍,之前死亡率峰值出现在77岁或80岁,现在则出现在82岁或85岁以上。年龄调整后的死亡率并未始终反映出这种变化,美国白人女性的年龄调整后死亡率明显较低,尽管其年龄别死亡率有所上升。这种差异似乎是人口分布变化的产物,随着时间推移,不同性别和国家之间的年龄差异越来越大。当按照所有死亡都提前5年发生的假设重新计算近期的年龄别死亡率时,20世纪80年代所有死亡率曲线形态都恢复到了20世纪60年代的形态,大多数年龄段的死亡率最多只有适度上升。这表明,自1970年在美国和1971年在丹麦推出左旋多巴以来,各年龄段的死亡年龄(即生存时间)都增加了约5年。(摘要截选至250词)

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