UMI UMMISCO IRD-UPMC 209, Centre IRD France Nord, 93143 Bondy, France.
Philos Trans R Soc Lond B Biol Sci. 2012 Oct 19;367(1604):2807-13. doi: 10.1098/rstb.2011.0364.
The increasing number of zoonotic diseases spilling over from a range of wild animal species represents a particular concern for public health, especially in light of the current dramatic trend of biodiversity loss. To understand the ecology of these multi-host pathogens and their response to environmental degradation and species extinctions, it is necessary to develop a theoretical framework that takes into account realistic community assemblages. Here, we present a multi-host species epidemiological model that includes empirically determined patterns of diversity and composition derived from community ecology studies. We use this framework to study the interaction between wildlife diversity and directly transmitted pathogen dynamics. First, we demonstrate that variability in community composition does not affect significantly the intensity of pathogen transmission. We also show that the consequences of community diversity can differentially impact the prevalence of pathogens and the number of infectious individuals. Finally, we show that ecological interactions among host species have a weaker influence on pathogen circulation than inter-species transmission rates. We conclude that integration of a community perspective to study wildlife pathogens is crucial, especially in the context of understanding and predicting infectious disease emergence events.
越来越多的人畜共患疾病从多种野生动物物种溢出,这对公共卫生构成了特别关注,尤其是考虑到当前生物多样性丧失的急剧趋势。为了了解这些多宿主病原体的生态学及其对环境退化和物种灭绝的反应,有必要制定一个考虑到现实群落组合的理论框架。在这里,我们提出了一个多宿主物种流行病学模型,该模型包括从群落生态学研究中得出的经验确定的多样性和组成模式。我们使用这个框架来研究野生动物多样性与直接传播病原体动力学之间的相互作用。首先,我们证明群落组成的可变性不会显著影响病原体传播的强度。我们还表明,群落多样性的后果可以不同程度地影响病原体的流行程度和感染个体的数量。最后,我们表明,宿主物种之间的生态相互作用对病原体循环的影响比种间传播率弱。我们得出结论,将群落观点纳入野生动物病原体研究至关重要,特别是在理解和预测传染病爆发事件的背景下。