Unité Mixte Internationale (UMI) Unité de Modélisation Mathématique et Informatique des Systèmes Complexes (UMMISCO) IRD-UPMC 209, Centre IRD France Nord, 93143 Bondy, France.
Am Nat. 2013 Jan;181(1):1-11. doi: 10.1086/668591. Epub 2012 Nov 27.
Vector-borne zoonotic disease agents, which are known to often infect multiple species in the wild, have been identified as an emerging threat to human health. Understanding the ecology of these pathogens is especially timely, given the continued anthropogenic impacts on biodiversity. Here, we integrate empirical scaling laws from community ecology within a theoretical reservoir-vector-pathogen framework to study the transmission consequences of host community structure and diversity within large assemblages. We show that heterogeneity in susceptibility of the reservoir species promotes transmission "dilution," while a greater vector species richness "amplifies" it. These contrasting transmission impacts of vector and reservoir communities can yield very different epidemiological patterns. We demonstrate that vector and reservoir species richness can explain per se most of the pathogen transmission observed for West Nile virus in different parts of the United States, giving empirical support for the validity of these opposing theoretically predicted effects. We conclude that, in the context of disease emergence, the integration of a community perspective can provide critical insights into the understanding of pathogen transmission in wildlife.
虫媒传染病病原体通常会感染野外的多种物种,它们被认为是对人类健康的一种新出现的威胁。鉴于人类活动对生物多样性的持续影响,了解这些病原体的生态学特征尤为及时。在这里,我们将群落生态学中的经验尺度定律整合到一个理论的水库-媒介-病原体框架内,以研究大集合中宿主群落结构和多样性对传播的影响。我们表明,水库物种易感性的异质性促进了传播的“稀释”,而更多的媒介物种丰富度则“放大”了传播。这些媒介和水库群落的不同传播影响可能产生非常不同的流行病学模式。我们证明,媒介和水库物种丰富度本身就可以解释西尼罗河病毒在美国不同地区观察到的大部分病原体传播,这为这些相反的理论预测效果的有效性提供了经验支持。我们的结论是,在疾病出现的情况下,将群落观点整合起来可以为理解野生动物中的病原体传播提供关键的见解。