Acute Complications and Sequelae from Foodborne Infections: Informing Priorities for Cost of Foodborne Illness Estimates.

Cost of foodborne illness (CoFI) estimates provide estimates of the overall impact of foodborne illnesses, including hospitalizations, long-term complications, and deaths. CoFI estimates are needed in countries that require cost-benefit analysis as part of the process of adopting new regulations, as is the case in the United States. Monetary estimates of the impact of disease also provide a meaningful way of communicating with the public about the impact of foodborne disease. In 2014, researchers at the U.S. Department of Agriculture, Economic Research Service (ERS), published CoFI estimates for 15 pathogens that account for roughly 95% of illnesses and deaths from the 31 major foodborne pathogens included in the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) foodborne disease incidence estimates. ERS is currently updating their estimates to include all 31 known pathogens and unspecific agents included in CDC incidence estimates. CoFI estimates are based on quantitative models of the health outcomes people experience as a result of these illnesses and an assessment of the costs associated with these health outcomes. Research on the incidence of foodborne disease provides a starting point for this disease modeling, but it usually must be supplemented by other additional synthesis of research on acute complications and long-term health outcomes of different foodborne diseases. As part of its current work revising CoFI estimates, ERS convened a workshop attended by leading foodborne disease public health scientists to discuss how changes in scientific research on the incidence and outcomes of foodborne illnesses should inform the next revision of ERS's CoFI estimates. This article presents a summary, based on discussion at this workshop, of the state of scientific research available to inform updated economic modeling of the CoFI in the United States.