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国家竞争力与财富。

The competitiveness versus the wealth of a country.

机构信息

Center for Polymer Studies and Department of Physics, Boston University, Boston, MA 02215, USA.

出版信息

Sci Rep. 2012;2:678. doi: 10.1038/srep00678. Epub 2012 Sep 20.

Abstract

Politicians world-wide frequently promise a better life for their citizens. We find that the probability that a country will increase its per capita GDP (gdp) rank within a decade follows an exponential distribution with decay constant λ = 0.12. We use the Corruption Perceptions Index (CPI) and the Global Competitiveness Index (GCI) and find that the distribution of change in CPI (GCI) rank follows exponential functions with approximately the same exponent as λ, suggesting that the dynamics of gdp, CPI, and GCI may share the same origin. Using the GCI, we develop a new measure, which we call relative competitiveness, to evaluate an economy's competitiveness relative to its gdp. For all European and EU countries during the 2008-2011 economic downturn we find that the drop in gdp in more competitve countries relative to gdp was substantially smaller than in relatively less competitive countries, which is valuable information for policymakers.

摘要

世界各地的政治家经常承诺为其公民提供更美好的生活。我们发现,一个国家在十年内提高人均 GDP(国内生产总值)排名的概率遵循指数分布,衰减常数 λ = 0.12。我们使用腐败感知指数(CPI)和全球竞争力指数(GCI),发现 CPI(GCI)排名变化的分布遵循指数函数,其指数与 λ 大致相同,这表明 GDP、CPI 和 GCI 的动态可能具有相同的起源。使用 GCI,我们开发了一种新的衡量标准,我们称之为相对竞争力,用于评估一个经济体相对于其 GDP 的竞争力。对于 2008-2011 年经济衰退期间的所有欧洲和欧盟国家,我们发现,在竞争力较强的国家,相对于 GDP 的 GDP 降幅明显小于竞争力较弱的国家,这对政策制定者来说是有价值的信息。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/b860/3447187/792a18038a9a/srep00678-f1.jpg

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