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人工神经网络模型对中国西北地区黑河河水溶解氧的模拟。

Artificial neural network modeling of dissolved oxygen in the Heihe River, Northwestern China.

机构信息

Key Laboratory of Coastal Zone Environmental Processes, Yantai Institute of Coastal Zone Research, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Chunhui Rd 17, Yantai, 264003 Shandong Province, China.

出版信息

Environ Monit Assess. 2013 May;185(5):4361-71. doi: 10.1007/s10661-012-2874-8. Epub 2012 Sep 22.

Abstract

Identification and quantification of dissolved oxygen (DO) profiles of river is one of the primary concerns for water resources managers. In this research, an artificial neural network (ANN) was developed to simulate the DO concentrations in the Heihe River, Northwestern China. A three-layer back-propagation ANN was used with the Bayesian regularization training algorithm. The input variables of the neural network were pH, electrical conductivity, chloride (Cl(-)), calcium (Ca(2+)), total alkalinity, total hardness, nitrate nitrogen (NO3-N), and ammonical nitrogen (NH4-N). The ANN structure with 14 hidden neurons obtained the best selection. By making comparison between the results of the ANN model and the measured data on the basis of correlation coefficient (r) and root mean square error (RMSE), a good model-fitting DO values indicated the effectiveness of neural network model. It is found that the coefficient of correlation (r) values for the training, validation, and test sets were 0.9654, 0.9841, and 0.9680, respectively, and the respective values of RMSE for the training, validation, and test sets were 0.4272, 0.3667, and 0.4570, respectively. Sensitivity analysis was used to determine the influence of input variables on the dependent variable. The most effective inputs were determined as pH, NO3-N, NH4-N, and Ca(2+). Cl(-) was found to be least effective variables on the proposed model. The identified ANN model can be used to simulate the water quality parameters.

摘要

识别和量化河流溶解氧(DO)分布是水资源管理者关注的首要问题之一。在本研究中,开发了一种人工神经网络(ANN)来模拟中国西北黑河流域的 DO 浓度。使用具有贝叶斯正则化训练算法的三层反向传播 ANN。神经网络的输入变量为 pH 值、电导率、氯离子(Cl(-))、钙离子(Ca(2+))、总碱度、总硬度、硝酸盐氮(NO3-N)和氨氮(NH4-N)。具有 14 个隐藏神经元的 ANN 结构获得了最佳选择。通过基于相关系数(r)和均方根误差(RMSE)比较神经网络模型和实测数据的结果,良好的模型拟合 DO 值表明神经网络模型的有效性。结果表明,训练集、验证集和测试集的相关系数(r)值分别为 0.9654、0.9841 和 0.9680,训练集、验证集和测试集的 RMSE 值分别为 0.4272、0.3667 和 0.4570。敏感性分析用于确定输入变量对因变量的影响。确定 pH 值、NO3-N、NH4-N 和 Ca(2+)为最有效输入,Cl(-)为模型中最无效变量。所识别的 ANN 模型可用于模拟水质参数。

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