Stroke Unit, Department of Neurology, Ospedale Regionale, Viale Ginevra n 3, 11100 Aosta, Italy.
Neurol Sci. 2013 Jul;34(7):1071-81. doi: 10.1007/s10072-012-1185-8. Epub 2012 Sep 25.
Our aim was to prospectively ascertain the incidence of first-ever stroke and ischaemic stroke subtypes, mortality, functional outcome and recurrence in northern Italy. We identified all possible cases of stroke (1st January 2004 and 31st December 2008). Multiple overlapping sources were used. Standard definitions for incident cases, pathological types and infarction subtypes were used. Patient characteristics were identified and analysed, case-fatality was ascertained from administrative databases, and outcome was assessed in all surviving patients by modified Rankin Scale. We identified 1,326 incident strokes. The pathological diagnosis was confirmed in 94% of cases. The incidence of first-ever stroke was 80.2 per 100,000 (95% CI 73-87) when adjusted to world population. The incidence of embolic stroke was significantly greater in women than in men (p < 0.001) whereas the incidence of atherothrombotic stroke was significantly greater in men than in women (p < 0.001). The case-fatality of incident strokes was 9.5% at 7 day, 16.1% at 28 day, and 29.9% at 1 year. Case-fatality of ischaemic stroke was lower than that of other pathological types (p < 0.0001). Hypertension was the most important risk factor, and atrial fibrillation was the most common in embolic stroke. Increasing age, female gender and embolic stroke subtypes were associated with an adverse outcome. Data on stroke incidence and case-fatality were similar to those of other high-income countries. However, differences were found in the distribution of risk factors and prognosis across the stroke types and ischaemic stroke subtypes. Gender differences in long-term functional outcomes were significant.
我们的目的是前瞻性地确定意大利北部首次中风和缺血性中风亚型的发病率、死亡率、功能结局和复发率。我们确定了所有可能的中风病例(2004 年 1 月 1 日和 2008 年 12 月 31 日)。使用了多个重叠的来源。使用了发病病例、病理类型和梗死亚型的标准定义。确定了患者特征,并进行了分析,从行政数据库确定病死率,并在所有存活患者中使用改良 Rankin 量表评估结局。我们确定了 1326 例首发中风。94%的病例进行了病理诊断确认。调整至世界人口后,首次中风的发病率为 80.2/10 万(95%CI 73-87)。女性的栓塞性中风发病率明显高于男性(p < 0.001),而男性的动脉粥样硬化血栓性中风发病率明显高于女性(p < 0.001)。首发中风的 7 天病死率为 9.5%,28 天病死率为 16.1%,1 年病死率为 29.9%。缺血性中风的病死率低于其他病理类型(p < 0.0001)。高血压是最重要的危险因素,而心房颤动是栓塞性中风中最常见的。年龄增长、女性性别和栓塞性中风亚型与不良结局相关。中风发病率和病死率的数据与其他高收入国家相似。然而,在各种中风类型和缺血性中风亚型的危险因素分布和预后方面存在差异。性别差异对长期功能结局有显著影响。