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志愿者参与性犯罪者治疗是否重要?利用倾向评分分析了解志愿者和治疗对累犯的影响。

Does volunteering for sex offender treatment matter? Using propensity score analysis to understand the effects of volunteerism and treatment on recidivism.

机构信息

Catholic University, Washington, DC 200064, USA.

出版信息

Sex Abuse. 2013 Aug;25(4):319-46. doi: 10.1177/1079063212459085. Epub 2012 Sep 24.

Abstract

A common critique of program evaluations of prison-based sex offender treatment holds that the samples inherently show selection bias because the participants typically volunteer for treatment. To address this critique, we used propensity score analysis to assess the influence of volunteerism on treatment effects. We examined recidivism outcomes for a sample of participants who volunteered for treatment, of whom some participated in treatment (n = 161) and some did not (n = 282) and compared these outcomes to the recidivism rate of a matched sample of nonvolunteers for treatment (n = 443). The primary finding is that offenders who volunteered for treatment did not demonstrate any differences in recidivism rates when matched with and compared to inmates who did not volunteer to participate in treatment. Furthermore, our results revealed that there were a number of significant differences between unmatched volunteers and unmatched nonvolunteers, perhaps most importantly in their risk for future recidivism as measured by the STATIC-99 risk assessment. We discuss study strengths and limitations and present the implications of the findings for policy, practice, and research.

摘要

对基于监狱的性犯罪者治疗的项目评估的一个常见批评认为,由于参与者通常自愿接受治疗,因此样本本质上存在选择偏差。为了解决这一批评,我们使用倾向评分分析来评估志愿参与对治疗效果的影响。我们考察了一组自愿接受治疗的参与者的累犯结果,其中一些人参加了治疗(n = 161),而另一些人没有(n = 282),并将这些结果与治疗的匹配样本中的累犯率(n = 443)进行了比较。主要发现是,与未自愿参加治疗的囚犯相比,自愿接受治疗的罪犯在累犯率方面没有任何差异。此外,我们的结果还显示,未匹配的志愿者和未匹配的非志愿者之间存在许多显著差异,也许最重要的是在未来累犯风险方面,这是通过 STATIC-99 风险评估来衡量的。我们讨论了研究的优势和局限性,并提出了这些发现对政策、实践和研究的意义。

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