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国家出口流的网络分析:经济构建模块的坚实基础。

A network analysis of countries' export flows: firm grounds for the building blocks of the economy.

机构信息

IMT-Institutions Market Technology, Lucca, Italy.

出版信息

PLoS One. 2012;7(10):e47278. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0047278. Epub 2012 Oct 19.

Abstract

In this paper we analyze the bipartite network of countries and products from UN data on country production. We define the country-country and product-product projected networks and introduce a novel method of filtering information based on elements' similarity. As a result we find that country clustering reveals unexpected socio-geographic links among the most competing countries. On the same footings the products clustering can be efficiently used for a bottom-up classification of produced goods. Furthermore we mathematically reformulate the "reflections method" introduced by Hidalgo and Hausmann as a fixpoint problem; such formulation highlights some conceptual weaknesses of the approach. To overcome such an issue, we introduce an alternative methodology (based on biased Markov chains) that allows to rank countries in a conceptually consistent way. Our analysis uncovers a strong non-linear interaction between the diversification of a country and the ubiquity of its products, thus suggesting the possible need of moving towards more efficient and direct non-linear fixpoint algorithms to rank countries and products in the global market.

摘要

在本文中,我们分析了来自联合国关于国家生产数据的国家和产品的双边网络。我们定义了国家-国家和产品-产品投影网络,并引入了一种基于元素相似性的新颖信息过滤方法。结果表明,国家聚类揭示了最具竞争力的国家之间意想不到的社会地理联系。同样,产品聚类可以有效地用于对生产商品进行自下而上的分类。此外,我们将 Hidalgo 和 Hausmann 引入的“反射方法”数学上重新表述为一个不动点问题;这种表述突出了该方法的一些概念性弱点。为了克服这个问题,我们引入了一种替代方法(基于有偏马尔可夫链),可以以概念一致的方式对国家进行排名。我们的分析揭示了国家多样化和产品普及之间的强非线性相互作用,因此可能需要转向更有效和直接的非线性不动点算法,以便对全球市场中的国家和产品进行排名。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/7442/3477170/057f6e8d3229/pone.0047278.g001.jpg

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