Department of Internal Medicine, University of the Witwatersrand, Johannesburg, South Africa.
AIDS. 2013 Feb 20;27(4):645-50. doi: 10.1097/QAD.0b013e32835c12f9.
OBJECTIVE: In August 2011, South Africa expanded its adult antiretroviral therapy (ART) guidelines to allow treatment initiation at CD4 cell values 350 cells/μl or less. Mortality and morbidity are known to be reduced when initiating at higher CD4 levels; we explored the impact on patient loss to follow-up. DESIGN: An observational cohort study. METHODS: We analyzed routine data of 1430 adult patients initiating ART from April to December 2010 from a Johannesburg primary healthcare clinic offering ART initiation at CD4 cell count 350 cells/μl or less since 2010. We compared loss to follow-up (≥3 months late for the last scheduled visit), death, and incident tuberculosis within 1 year of ART initiation for those initiating at CD4 cell values 200 or less versus 201-350 cells/μl. RESULTS: : Half (52.0%) of patients presented in the lower CD4 cell group [≤200 cells/μl, median: 105 cells/μl, interquartile range (IQR): 55-154] and initiated ART, and 48.0% in the higher group (CD4 cell count 201-350 cells/μl, median: 268 cells/μl, IQR: 239-307). The proportion of women and pregnant women was greater in the high CD4 cell group; the lower CD4 cell group included more patients with prevalent tuberculosis. Among men and nonpregnant women, initiating at 201-350 cells/μl was associated with 26-42% reduced loss to follow-up compared to those initiating 200 cells/μl or less. We found no CD4 cell effect among pregnant women. Risk of mortality [adjusted hazard ratio (aHR) 0.34, 95% confidence interval (CI) 0.13-0.84] and incident tuberculosis (aHR 0.44, 95% CI 0.23-0.85) was lower among the higher CD4 cell group. CONCLUSION: This is one of the first studies from a routine clinical setting to demonstrate South Africa's 2011 expansion of ART treatment guidelines can be enacted without increasing program attrition.
目的:2011 年 8 月,南非扩大了成人抗逆转录病毒治疗(ART)指南,允许在 CD4 细胞值<350 个/μl 时开始治疗。当以较高的 CD4 水平开始治疗时,死亡率和发病率已知会降低;我们探讨了这对患者失访的影响。
设计:观察性队列研究。
方法:我们分析了 2010 年 4 月至 12 月期间来自约翰内斯堡初级保健诊所的 1430 名开始接受 ART 的成年患者的常规数据,该诊所自 2010 年以来一直提供 CD4 细胞计数<350 个/μl 时开始 ART 的服务。我们比较了在 CD4 细胞值为 200 或以下与 201-350 个/μl 时,最后一次预约延迟≥3 个月的失访(定义为失访)、死亡和在开始 ART 后 1 年内发生的结核事件。
结果:一半(52.0%)的患者出现在较低的 CD4 细胞组[≤200 个/μl,中位数:105 个/μl,四分位距(IQR):55-154],并开始接受 ART,而 48.0%的患者在较高的 CD4 细胞组(CD4 细胞计数 201-350 个/μl,中位数:268 个/μl,IQR:239-307)。高 CD4 细胞组中女性和孕妇的比例较大,低 CD4 细胞组中患有潜伏性结核病的患者较多。在男性和非孕妇中,与开始治疗 200 个/μl 或以下相比,开始治疗 201-350 个/μl 与失访减少 26-42%相关。我们没有发现 CD4 细胞对孕妇有影响。高 CD4 细胞组的死亡率[调整后的危险比(aHR)0.34,95%置信区间(CI)0.13-0.84]和结核发病率(aHR 0.44,95% CI 0.23-0.85)较低。
结论:这是首次从常规临床环境中开展的研究之一,表明南非 2011 年扩大的 ART 治疗指南的实施不会增加项目流失。
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