Ballard-Barbash R, Schatzkin A, Taylor P R, Kahle L L
Division of Cancer Prevention and Control, National Cancer Institute, NIH, Bethesda, Maryland 20892.
Cancer Res. 1990 Apr 1;50(7):2152-5.
We examined the relation between maximal adult change in body mass and breast cancer in the Epidemiological Follow-up Study of the first National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey. A total of 5599 women ages 25 to 74 years at the baseline examination in 1971 to 1975 were analyzed. Adult body mass change was calculated from baseline interview questions on lowest and highest adult weights, ages at those weights, and adult height. The cohort was followed for a median of 10 years and yielded 101 cases of breast cancer. In a multivariate model adjusting for potential confounders (age, body mass, education, parity, age at first birth, menopausal status, calorie and alcohol intake, and physical activity) the relative risk estimates for the upper two tertiles of body mass gain were 1.7 (95% confidence interval, 0.9 to 3.4) and 2.5 (95% confidence interval, 1.2 to 5.4), respectively, in comparison to the lowest tertile of adult body mass gain. The relative risk estimate for those with a loss in body mass during adulthood was 1.3 (95% confidence interval, 0.7 to 2.6) in comparison to those in the lowest tertile of adult body mass gain. There was no association between body mass at the baseline examination and subsequent breast cancer. The results of this study suggest that gain in adult body mass is a predictor of breast cancer risk independent of adult body mass. These results also suggest that avoidance of marked weight gain during adult life may reduce the risk of breast cancer.
在首次全国健康与营养检查调查的流行病学随访研究中,我们研究了成年后体重的最大变化与乳腺癌之间的关系。对1971年至1975年基线检查时年龄在25至74岁之间的5599名女性进行了分析。根据关于最低和最高成年体重、达到这些体重时的年龄以及成年身高的基线访谈问题计算成年体重变化。该队列的随访时间中位数为10年,共出现101例乳腺癌病例。在一个针对潜在混杂因素(年龄、体重、教育程度、产次、初产年龄、绝经状态、卡路里和酒精摄入量以及身体活动)进行调整的多变量模型中,与成年体重增加最低三分位数相比,体重增加最高的两个三分位数的相对风险估计分别为1.7(95%置信区间,0.9至3.4)和2.5(95%置信区间,1.2至5.4)。与成年体重增加最低三分位数的人相比,成年期体重减轻者的相对风险估计为1.3(95%置信区间,0.7至2.6)。基线检查时的体重与随后的乳腺癌之间没有关联。这项研究的结果表明,成年体重增加是乳腺癌风险的一个预测因素,独立于成年体重。这些结果还表明,在成年期避免体重显著增加可能会降低患乳腺癌的风险。