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在缺乏金标准的情况下评估具有中间结果的诊断试验的准确性。

Evaluating accuracy of diagnostic tests with intermediate results in the absence of a gold standard.

机构信息

Department of Biostatistics, Indiana University School of Medicine, Indianapolis, IN 46020, USA.

出版信息

Stat Med. 2013 Jul 10;32(15):2571-84. doi: 10.1002/sim.5695. Epub 2012 Dec 5.

Abstract

Intermediate test results often occur with diagnostic tests. When assessing diagnostic accuracy, it is important to properly report and account for these results. In the literature, these results are commonly discarded prior to analysis or treated as either a positive or a negative result. Although such adjustments allow sensitivity and specificity to be computed in the standard way, these forced decisions limit the interpretability and usefulness of the results. Estimation of diagnostic accuracy is further complicated when tests are evaluated without a gold standard. Although traditional latent class modeling can be readily applied to analyze these data and account for intermediate results, these models assume that tests are independent conditional on the true disease status, which is rarely valid in practice. We extend both the log-linear latent class model and the probit latent class model to accommodate the conditional dependence among tests while taking the intermediate results into consideration. We illustrate our methods using a simulation study and a published medical study on the detection of epileptiform activity in the brain.

摘要

中间测试结果在诊断测试中经常出现。在评估诊断准确性时,正确报告和考虑这些结果非常重要。在文献中,这些结果在分析之前通常被丢弃,或者被视为阳性或阴性结果。尽管这些调整允许以标准方式计算灵敏度和特异性,但这些强制性决策限制了结果的可解释性和有用性。当没有金标准评估测试时,诊断准确性的估计会变得更加复杂。虽然传统的潜在类别模型可以很容易地应用于分析这些数据并考虑中间结果,但这些模型假设测试是独立于真实疾病状态的条件概率,而这在实践中很少成立。我们扩展了对数线性潜在类别模型和概率潜在类别模型,以适应测试之间的条件依赖性,同时考虑中间结果。我们使用模拟研究和一项关于检测大脑中癫痫样活动的已发表医学研究来说明我们的方法。

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