Faculty of Applied Sciences, University of Gloucestershire, Gloucester, United Kingdom.
J Sports Sci. 2013;31(8):887-93. doi: 10.1080/02640414.2012.757341. Epub 2013 Jan 11.
Indoor hockey is a highly competitive international sport, yet no research to date has investigated the key actions within this sport. As with outdoor field hockey, penalty corners represent one of the most likely situations in which goals can be scored. All 36 matches of the round-robin phase of the 2010-2011 England Hockey League Women's Premier Division 'Super Sixes' competition were analysed with the purpose of establishing which factors can predict the scoring of a goal using binary logistic regression analysis. Seventy-two (22.6%) of the 319 observed penalty corners resulted in a goal. The strongest predictor of scoring a goal was taking the penalty corner from the goalkeeper's right. Based on the odds ratio (OR), the odds of the attacking team scoring were 2.27 (confidence interval (CI) = 1.41-3.65) times higher with penalty corners taken from the goalkeeper's right as opposed to the left. Additionally, if the goalkeeper decided to rush to the edge of the circle, the odds of the attacking team failing to score were 2.19 (CI = 1.18-4.08) times higher compared to when the goalkeeper remained near the goal line. These results suggest that strategic decisions from the players and coaches have an important part to play in the success of penalty corners. Future research should investigate the impact of goalkeepers' movement and further examine the technical and tactical intricacies of penalty corners.
室内曲棍球是一项极具竞争力的国际运动，但迄今为止，还没有研究调查过这项运动的关键动作。与室外曲棍球一样，点球角球是最有可能进球的情况之一。为了使用二项逻辑回归分析确定哪些因素可以预测进球，对 2010-2011 年英格兰曲棍球联盟女子超级六强赛的循环赛阶段的 36 场比赛进行了分析。在观察到的 319 个点球角球中，有 72 个（22.6%）导致进球。得分的最强预测因素是守门员右侧的点球角球。基于优势比（OR），与从守门员左侧罚点球相比，从守门员右侧罚点球的进攻方得分的几率高 2.27 倍（置信区间（CI）= 1.41-3.65）。此外，如果守门员决定冲到圆圈边缘，与守门员留在球门线附近相比，进攻方未能得分的几率高 2.19 倍（CI=1.18-4.08）。这些结果表明，球员和教练的战略决策在点球角球的成功中起着重要作用。未来的研究应该调查守门员的移动的影响，并进一步研究点球角球的技术和战术复杂性。
