Medical Corps, Israel Defense Force, Israel.
Int J Cancer. 2013 Jul 15;133(2):486-94. doi: 10.1002/ijc.28031. Epub 2013 Feb 15.
Cutaneous melanoma (CM) is a common cancer with increasing incidence in many parts of the world where light-skinned populations live. We conducted a large-scale nationally representative migrant cohort study to assess country of origin and age at migration as predictors of CM, controlling for possible confounders. Data on 1,086,569 Israeli Jewish males, who underwent a general health examination before compulsory military service at ages 16-19 between the years 1967-2005, were linked to Israel National Cancer Registry to obtain incident CM up to 2006. Cox proportional hazards was used to model time to event. Overall, 1562 incident cases were detected during 19.3 million person-years of follow-up. Origin was a strong independent predictor of CM. Incidence was higher for European (hazard ratio [HR] = 4.08, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 3.55-4.67) and Israeli origin (HR = 2.92, 95% CI: 2.25-3.79) compared to N. African/Asian origin, adjusted for year of birth, years of education, residential socio-economic position, rural residence and body surface area (or height). Among those of European origin, the adjusted risk was significantly lower for those who immigrated after the age of 10 years (HR = 0.58, 95% CI: 0.45-0.73) but not for younger ages (HR = 1.02, 95% CI 0.84-1.23) compared to Israeli born. The high rates of CM among men of European origin and the almost twofold lower risk among those immigrating after age 10 provide solid support for the deleterious role of childhood sun exposure as a risk factor for melanoma. These findings will serve in directing public health and research efforts.
皮肤黑色素瘤(CM)是一种常见的癌症,在世界各地浅色皮肤人群居住的地区发病率不断增加。我们进行了一项大规模的全国代表性移民队列研究,以评估原籍国和移民年龄作为 CM 的预测因素,同时控制可能的混杂因素。这项研究的数据来自于 1086569 名以色列犹太男性,他们在 1967 年至 2005 年期间 16-19 岁时接受了一次全面的健康检查,这些数据与以色列国家癌症登记处相关联,以获取截至 2006 年的 CM 发病情况。Cox 比例风险模型用于建模时间事件。在 1930 万个人随访年中,共发现 1562 例发病病例。原籍国是 CM 的一个强有力的独立预测因素。与北非/亚洲原籍国相比,欧洲(HR=4.08,95%置信区间[CI]:3.55-4.67)和以色列(HR=2.92,95%CI:2.25-3.79)的发病率更高,调整出生年份、教育年限、居住社会经济地位、农村居住和体表面积(或身高)后。在欧洲原籍国的人群中,与以色列出生的人群相比,10 岁以后移民的人群的调整风险显著降低(HR=0.58,95%CI:0.45-0.73),但对于年龄较小的人群(HR=1.02,95%CI 0.84-1.23),调整风险没有显著差异。欧洲裔男性中 CM 的高发病率和移民年龄在 10 岁以后的人群中 CM 发病率降低近两倍,这为儿童时期暴露于阳光下作为黑色素瘤的危险因素的有害作用提供了有力支持。这些发现将有助于指导公共卫生和研究工作。