School of Psychology, Australian Catholic University, 115 Victoria Parade, Fitzroy, VIC, 3065, Australia,
J Youth Adolesc. 2013 Dec;42(12):1811-23. doi: 10.1007/s10964-013-9910-z. Epub 2013 Jan 26.
The impact of alcohol-related violence on individuals and society continues to receive attention from both media and policy makers. However, the longitudinal relationship between alcohol consumption and violence is unclear, with findings from prospective studies producing mixed results. The current study utilized Australian data from the International Youth Development Study to examine longitudinal relationships between alcohol consumption and severe interpersonal violence across the developmental periods of early adolescence to late adolescence/emerging adulthood. The full sample comprised 849 adolescents (53.8 % female) who had been followed up over a 5 year period, from Grade 7 secondary school (age 13) until Grade 11 secondary school (age 17). Cross-lagged path analysis was used to examine reciprocal relationships between alcohol consumption and interpersonal violence; analyses controlled for a range of covariates considered to be common risk factors for both behaviors. Alcohol use during early and mid adolescence was found to predict violence 2 years later, whereas a bi-directional relationship between adolescent heavy episodic drinking and violence was observed. Some of these relationships were not significant when covariates such as family conflict and affiliation with antisocial and drug using friends were included in the models. These findings suggest that risk processes begin in late childhood or very early adolescence; efforts to reduce one problem behavior are likely to reduce the other. Further, the role that social and family contexts have in influencing the relationships between alcohol use and interpersonal violence should be considered in future research to better inform preventive efforts.
酒精相关暴力对个人和社会的影响继续受到媒体和政策制定者的关注。然而，饮酒与暴力之间的纵向关系尚不清楚，前瞻性研究的结果喜忧参半。本研究利用澳大利亚国际青年发展研究的数据，考察了青少年早期到青少年晚期/成年早期这一发展阶段饮酒与严重人际暴力之间的纵向关系。全样本包括 849 名青少年（53.8%为女性），他们在 5 年的时间里进行了跟踪调查，从 7 年级（13 岁）到 11 年级（17 岁）。交叉滞后路径分析用于检验饮酒和人际暴力之间的相互关系；分析控制了一系列被认为是这两种行为共同风险因素的协变量。青少年早期和中期的饮酒行为被发现可以预测 2 年后的暴力行为，而青少年重度饮酒和暴力之间存在双向关系。当模型中包含家庭冲突以及与反社会和吸毒朋友的联系等协变量时，其中一些关系就不再显著。这些发现表明，风险过程始于儿童后期或青少年早期；减少一种问题行为的努力可能会减少另一种行为。此外，应该在未来的研究中考虑社会和家庭环境在影响饮酒与人际暴力之间关系中的作用，以便更好地为预防工作提供信息。
