Gohmann S F
Department of Economics, University of Louisville.
J Gerontol. 1990 May;45(3):S120-7. doi: 10.1093/geronj/45.3.s120.
Recent studies have simulated the effect of changes in the Social Security system on the retirement age of married White men. The retirement decision for single people, Blacks, and women, however, may differ from those of married White men. This study used data for respondents to the Retirement History Survey and found that estimated retirement equations for married Black men and single White women are significantly different from the retirement equation estimated for married White men. Blacks and single White women have substantially lower retirement wealth than married White men, and their Social Security wealth makes up a larger portion of their total wealth. As a consequence, their retirement responses to the changes in the Social Security system are also likely to differ from those of married White men. We found that, relative to married White men, the wealth and substitution responses to the increase in the normal retirement age for Social Security benefit acceptance are larger for single White men, single Black men, and single White women. The results suggest that estimates of the retirement responses of married men to changes in Social Security or pensions are not necessarily representative of the retirement responses of the population as a whole.
近期研究模拟了社会保障体系变化对已婚白人男性退休年龄的影响。然而,单身人士、黑人以及女性的退休决策可能与已婚白人男性不同。本研究使用了退休历史调查受访者的数据,发现已婚黑人男性和单身白人女性的估计退休方程与已婚白人男性的退休方程存在显著差异。黑人和单身白人女性的退休财富远低于已婚白人男性,且其社会保障财富在总财富中所占比例更大。因此,他们对社会保障体系变化的退休反应也可能与已婚白人男性不同。我们发现,相对于已婚白人男性,单身白人男性、单身黑人男性和单身白人女性对提高领取社会保障福利的正常退休年龄所产生的财富和替代反应更大。结果表明,已婚男性对社会保障或养老金变化的退休反应估计不一定能代表整个人口的退休反应。