University of Michigan Injury Center, Ann Arbor, MI, USA.
Am J Public Health. 2013 Apr;103(4):657-64. doi: 10.2105/AJPH.2012.300927. Epub 2013 Feb 14.
We examined the relationship between alcohol outlets, drug markets (approximated by arrests for possession and trafficking), and violence in Boston, Massachusetts, in 2006. We analyzed geographic and environmental versus individual factors related to violence and identified areas high in violent crime.
We used data from the Boston Police Department, US Census, and Massachusetts State Alcohol Beverage Control Commission. Spatial modeling was employed at the block group level, and violent crime, alcohol outlets, and drug markets were mapped.
Relative to other block groups, block groups in the highest decile of violent crime (n = 55) were found to be poorer (e.g., lower incomes, higher percentages of vacant homes), and they had greater numbers of alcohol outlets and higher drug arrest rates. Alcohol outlets and drug possession and trafficking arrests were predictive of violent crime. Also, spatial effects resulting from neighboring block groups were related to violent crime. Both alcohol outlet density and type were associated with violent crime in a differentiated and complex way.
With drug possession and trafficking arrests as a proxy for drug markets, spatial relationships between alcohol outlets and violence were found in addition to typical sociodemographic predictors.
我们考察了 2006 年马萨诸塞州波士顿市酒类销售点、毒品市场(以因持有和贩卖毒品被捕人数来衡量)与暴力之间的关系。我们分析了与暴力相关的地理环境因素和个体因素,并确定了高犯罪率区域。
我们使用了来自波士顿警察局、美国人口普查局和马萨诸塞州酒精饮料管制委员会的数据。在街区组层面采用空间建模,绘制暴力犯罪、酒类销售点和毒品市场地图。
与其他街区组相比,暴力犯罪最高的街区组(n=55)较为贫困(例如,收入较低,空房率较高),酒类销售点较多,毒品逮捕率较高。酒类销售点和毒品持有与贩卖逮捕与暴力犯罪相关。此外,相邻街区组的空间效应与暴力犯罪有关。酒类销售点密度和类型与暴力犯罪存在差异化和复杂的关系。
以毒品持有和贩卖逮捕作为毒品市场的替代指标,除了典型的社会人口学预测因素外,我们还发现了酒类销售点与暴力之间的空间关系。