Stop TB Department (STB), HIV/AIDS, TB, Malaria and Neglected Tropical Diseases Cluster (HTM), World Health Organization, Geneva, Switzerland.
Semin Respir Crit Care Med. 2013 Feb;34(1):3-16. doi: 10.1055/s-0032-1333467. Epub 2013 Mar 4.
With 1.4 million deaths in 2011 and 8.7 million new cases, tuberculosis (TB) disease remains a global scourge. Global targets for reductions in the epidemiological burden of TB have been set for 2015 and 2050 within the context of the Millennium Development Goals (MDGs) and by the Stop TB Partnership. Achieving these targets is the focus of national and international efforts in TB control, and demonstrating whether or not they are achieved is of major importance to guide future and sustainable investments.This paper discusses the methods used to estimate the global burden of TB; estimates of incidence, prevalence, and mortality for 2011, combined with assessment of progress toward the 2015 targets for reductions in these indicators based on trends since 1990 and projections up to 2015; trends in TB notifications and in the implementation of the Stop TB Strategy; and prospects for elimination of TB by 2050.
2011 年全球有 140 万人死于结核病，870 万人新患结核病，结核病仍然是一个全球性的灾难。在千年发展目标（MDGs）的框架内，以及遏制结核病伙伴关系的框架内，为 2015 年和 2050 年设定了降低结核病流行病学负担的全球目标。实现这些目标是国家和国际结核病控制努力的重点，证明这些目标是否实现对于指导未来和可持续投资非常重要。本文讨论了用于估计全球结核病负担的方法；2011 年发病率、患病率和死亡率的估计数，结合自 1990 年以来的趋势和到 2015 年的预测，对实现这些指标减少 2015 年目标的进展情况进行评估；结核病报告和实施遏制结核病战略的趋势；以及到 2050 年消除结核病的前景。
