Kid Risk, Inc., , 10524 Moss Park Rd., Ste. 204-364, Orlando, FL 32832, USA.
Risk Anal. 2013 Apr;33(4):516-43. doi: 10.1111/risa.12019. Epub 2013 Mar 5.
With the circulation of wild poliovirus (WPV) types 1 and 3 continuing more than a decade after the original goal of eradicating all three types of WPVs by 2000, policymakers consider many immunization options as they strive to stop transmission in the remaining endemic and outbreak areas and prevent reintroductions of live polioviruses into nonendemic areas. While polio vaccination choices may appear simple, our analysis of current options shows remarkable complexity. We offer important context for current and future polio vaccine decisions and policy analyses by developing decision trees that clearly identify potential options currently used by countries as they evaluate national polio vaccine choices. Based on a comprehensive review of the literature we (1) identify the current vaccination options that national health leaders consider for polio vaccination, (2) characterize current practices and factors that appear to influence national and international choices, and (3) assess the evidence of vaccine effectiveness considering sources of variability between countries and uncertainties associated with limitations of the data. With low numbers of cases occurring globally, the management of polio risks might seem like a relatively low priority, but stopping live poliovirus circulation requires making proactive and intentional choices to manage population immunity in the remaining endemic areas and to prevent reestablishment in nonendemic areas. Our analysis shows remarkable variability in the current national polio vaccine product choices and schedules, with combination vaccine options containing inactivated poliovirus vaccine and different formulations of oral poliovirus vaccine making choices increasingly difficult for national health leaders.
在野毒株 1 型和 3 型脊髓灰质炎病毒(WPV)的循环持续了十余年之后,消灭所有 3 种 WPV 的最初目标未能实现,到 2000 年已被放弃。决策者在努力阻止剩余流行地区和暴发地区的传播,并防止活脊髓灰质炎病毒再次传入非流行地区时,考虑了许多免疫选择方案。虽然脊髓灰质炎疫苗接种的选择看似简单,但我们对现有选择方案的分析显示,其具有显著的复杂性。我们通过制定决策树,明确确定各国在评估国家脊髓灰质炎疫苗选择时当前使用的潜在方案,为当前和未来的脊髓灰质炎疫苗决策和政策分析提供了重要背景。我们(1)确定国家卫生领导人在脊髓灰质炎疫苗接种方面考虑的当前疫苗接种选择方案;(2)描述当前的做法和似乎影响国家和国际选择的因素;(3)评估疫苗有效性的证据,同时考虑各国之间的变异性来源和数据限制相关的不确定性。由于全球脊髓灰质炎病例数量较少,管理脊髓灰质炎风险似乎相对不是优先事项,但要阻止活脊髓灰质炎病毒的传播,就需要做出积极主动和有针对性的选择,以管理剩余流行地区的人群免疫力,并防止其在非流行地区重新建立。我们的分析显示,当前国家脊髓灰质炎疫苗产品选择和方案具有显著的可变性,包含灭活脊髓灰质炎病毒疫苗的联合疫苗选择方案和不同配方的口服脊髓灰质炎病毒疫苗,使得国家卫生领导人的选择变得更加困难。