London Centre for Neglected Tropical Diseases, Department of Infectious Disease Epidemiology, School of Public Health, Imperial College London, London, United Kingdom.
PLoS Negl Trop Dis. 2013;7(2):e2027. doi: 10.1371/journal.pntd.0002027. Epub 2013 Feb 28.
The London Declaration on neglected tropical diseases was based in part on a new World Health Organization roadmap to "sustain, expand and extend drug access programmes to ensure the necessary supply of drugs and other interventions to help control by 2020". Large drug donations from the pharmaceutical industry form the backbone to this aim, especially for soil-transmitted helminths (STHs) raising the question of how best to use these resources. Deworming for STHs is often targeted at school children because they are at greatest risk of morbidity and because it is remarkably cost-effective. However, the impact of school-based deworming on transmission in the wider community remains unclear.
We first estimate the proportion of parasites targeted by school-based deworming using demography, school enrolment, and data from a small number of example settings where age-specific intensity of infection (either worms or eggs) has been measured for all ages. We also use transmission models to investigate the potential impact of this coverage on transmission for different mixing scenarios.
In the example settings <30% of the population are 5 to <15 years old. Combining this demography with the infection age-intensity profile we estimate that in one setting school children output as little as 15% of hookworm eggs, whereas in another setting they harbour up to 50% of Ascaris lumbricoides worms (the highest proportion of parasites for our examples). In addition, it is estimated that from 40-70% of these children are enrolled at school.
These estimates suggest that, whilst school-based programmes have many important benefits, the proportion of infective stages targeted by school-based deworming may be limited, particularly where hookworm predominates. We discuss the consequences for transmission for a range of scenarios, including when infective stages deposited by children are more likely to contribute to transmission than those from adults.
《伦敦被忽视热带病宣言》部分基于世界卫生组织的新路线图,即“维持、扩大和延伸药物获取方案,以确保提供必要的药物和其他干预措施,从而在 2020 年之前控制这些疾病”。制药行业的大量药物捐赠是实现这一目标的基础,尤其是针对土壤传播性蠕虫(STHs),这引发了如何最好地利用这些资源的问题。针对 STH 的驱虫通常针对在校儿童,因为他们面临最大的发病风险,而且驱虫具有很高的成本效益。然而,基于学校的驱虫对更广泛社区传播的影响仍不清楚。
我们首先使用人口统计学、学校入学率以及少数几个已经针对所有年龄段测量了特定年龄强度感染(蠕虫或卵)的示例设置中的数据,来估计针对学校驱虫的寄生虫比例。我们还使用传播模型来研究不同混合情况下这种覆盖率对传播的潜在影响。
在示例设置中,<30%的人口年龄在 5 至<15 岁之间。将这种人口统计学与感染年龄强度分布结合起来,我们估计在一个设置中,在校儿童输出的钩虫卵不到 15%,而在另一个设置中,他们携带的蛔虫高达 50%(这是我们示例中寄生虫的最高比例)。此外,估计有 40-70%的这些儿童在学校注册。
这些估计表明,虽然基于学校的方案有许多重要的好处,但基于学校的驱虫方案可能针对的感染阶段比例有限,特别是在钩虫占主导地位的情况下。我们讨论了一系列场景下的传播后果,包括儿童产生的感染阶段比成人更有可能导致传播的情况。