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中国武汉空气污染对脑卒中住院人数短期影响的评估。

Estimation of short-term effects of air pollution on stroke hospital admissions in Wuhan, China.

机构信息

Department of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, School of Public Health, Wuhan University, Wuhan, Hubei, China.

出版信息

PLoS One. 2013 Apr 12;8(4):e61168. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0061168. Print 2013.

Abstract

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVE

High concentrations of air pollutants have been linked to increased incidence of stroke in North America and Europe but not yet assessed in mainland China. The aim of this study is to evaluate the association between stroke hospitalization and short-term elevation of air pollutants in Wuhan, China.

METHODS

Daily mean NO2, SO2 and PM10 levels, temperature and humidity were obtained from 2006 through 2008. Data on stroke hospitalizations (ICD 10: I60-I69) at four hospitals in Wuhan were obtained for the same period. A time-stratified case-crossover design was performed by season (April-September and October-March) to assess effects of pollutants on stroke hospital admissions.

RESULTS

Pollution levels were higher in October-March with averages of 136.1 µg/m(3) for PM10, 63.6 µg/m(3) for NO2 and 71.0 µg/m(3) for SO2 than in April-September when averages were 102.0 µg/m(3), 41.7 µg/m(3) and 41.7 µg/m(3), respectively (p<.001). During the cold season, every 10 µg/m(3) increase in NO2 was associated with a 2.9% (95%C.I. 1.2%-4.6%) increase in stroke admissions on the same day. Every 10 ug/m(3) increase in PM10 daily concentration was significantly associated with an approximate 1% (95% C.I. 0.1%-1.4%) increase in stroke hospitalization. A two-pollutant model indicated that NO2 was associated with stroke admissions when controlling for PM10. During the warm season, no significant associations were noted for any of the pollutants.

CONCLUSIONS

Exposure to NO2 is significantly associated with stroke hospitalizations during the cold season in Wuhan, China when pollution levels are 50% greater than in the warm season. Larger and multi-center studies in Chinese cities are warranted to validate our findings.

摘要

背景与目的

高浓度的空气污染物与北美的中风发病率增加有关,在欧洲也有相关报道,但尚未在中国大陆进行评估。本研究旨在评估中国武汉短期空气污染浓度升高与中风住院率之间的关系。

方法

2006 年至 2008 年期间,我们获得了每日平均的二氧化氮(NO2)、二氧化硫(SO2)和 PM10 浓度、温度和湿度数据。同时,我们还获得了同期武汉市四家医院的中风住院数据(ICD-10:I60-I69)。本研究采用时间分层病例交叉设计,按照季节(4 月至 9 月和 10 月至 3 月)评估污染物对中风住院的影响。

结果

10 月至 3 月的污染水平较高,PM10、NO2 和 SO2 的平均浓度分别为 136.1µg/m3、63.6µg/m3 和 71.0µg/m3,而 4 月至 9 月的平均浓度分别为 102.0µg/m3、41.7µg/m3 和 41.7µg/m3(p<.001)。在寒冷季节,NO2 浓度每增加 10µg/m3,同日中风住院率增加 2.9%(95%置信区间 1.2%-4.6%)。PM10 每日浓度每增加 10µg/m3,中风住院率增加约 1%(95%置信区间 0.1%-1.4%)。双污染物模型表明,在控制 PM10 后,NO2 与中风住院率相关。在温暖季节,任何污染物与中风住院率均无显著相关性。

结论

在中国武汉,当污染水平比温暖季节高 50%时,NO2 暴露与寒冷季节的中风住院率显著相关。有必要在中国的其他城市开展更大规模和多中心的研究,以验证我们的发现。

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