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儿童人群中肝母细胞瘤的生存和发病预测因素。

Predictors of survival and incidence of hepatoblastoma in the paediatric population.

机构信息

Division of General Surgery, University of Miami Miller School of Medicine, Miami, FL, USA.

出版信息

HPB (Oxford). 2013 Oct;15(10):741-6. doi: 10.1111/hpb.12112. Epub 2013 Apr 22.

Abstract

OBJECTIVES

This study evaluates current trends in incidence, clinical outcomes and factors predictive of survival in children with hepatoblastoma (HB).

METHODS

The Surveillance, Epidemiology and End Results (SEER) database was queried for the period 1973-2009 for all patients aged <20 years with HB.

RESULTS

A total of 606 patients were identified. The age-adjusted incidence was 0.13 patients per 100 000 in 2009. An annual percentage change of 2.18% (95% confidence interval (CI) 1.10-3.27; P < 0.05) was seen over the study period. Overall survival rates at 5, 10 and 20 years were 63%, 61% and 59%, respectively. Ten-year survival rates significantly improved in patients with resectable disease who underwent operative treatment in comparison with those with non-resectable HB (86% versus 39%; P < 0.0001). Multivariate analysis showed surgical treatment (hazard ratio (HR) = 0.23, 95% CI 0.17-0.31; P < 0.0001), Hispanic ethnicity (HR = 0.61, 95% CI 0.43-0.89; P = 0.01), local disease at presentation (HR = 0.43, 95% CI 0.29-0.63; P < 0.0001) and age < 5 years (HR = 0.63, 95% CI 0.41-0.95; P < 0.03) to be independent prognostic factors of survival.

CONCLUSIONS

The incidence of paediatric HB has increased over time. Hepatoblastoma is almost exclusively seen in children aged < 5 years. When HB presents after the age of 5 years, the prognosis is most unfavourable. Tumour extirpation markedly improves survival in paediatric patients with local disease.

摘要

目的

本研究评估了儿童肝母细胞瘤(HB)的发病率、临床结果和生存预测因素的当前趋势。

方法

从 1973 年至 2009 年,通过监测、流行病学和最终结果(SEER)数据库对所有年龄<20 岁的 HB 患者进行了查询。

结果

共确定了 606 例患者。2009 年,年龄调整后的发病率为每 100000 人中有 0.13 例。研究期间,每年的百分比变化为 2.18%(95%置信区间(CI)1.10-3.27;P<0.05)。5 年、10 年和 20 年的总生存率分别为 63%、61%和 59%。与不可切除 HB 患者相比,可切除疾病患者接受手术治疗的 10 年生存率显著提高(86%对 39%;P<0.0001)。多变量分析显示手术治疗(风险比(HR)=0.23,95%置信区间(CI)0.17-0.31;P<0.0001)、西班牙裔(HR=0.61,95%CI 0.43-0.89;P=0.01)、局部疾病(HR=0.43,95%CI 0.29-0.63;P<0.0001)和年龄<5 岁(HR=0.63,95%CI 0.41-0.95;P<0.03)是生存的独立预后因素。

结论

儿童 HB 的发病率随时间推移而增加。HB 几乎仅见于年龄<5 岁的儿童。当 HB 在 5 岁后出现时,预后最不利。肿瘤切除显著改善了局部疾病患儿的生存。

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