Swedish Nuclear Fuel and Waste Management Co, Box 250, 101 24, Stockholm, Sweden.
Ambio. 2013 May;42(4):402-13. doi: 10.1007/s13280-013-0407-5.
Understanding how long-term abiotic and biotic processes are linked at a landscape level is of major interest for analyzing future impact on humans and the environment from present-day societal planning. This article uses results derived from multidisciplinary work at a coastal site in Sweden, with the aim of describing future landscape development. First, based on current and historical data, we identified climate change, shoreline displacement, and accumulation/erosion processes as the main drivers of landscape development. Second, site-specific information was combined with data from the Scandinavian region to build models that describe how the identified processes may affect the site development through time. Finally, the process models were combined to describe a whole interglacial period. With this article, we show how the landscape and ecosystem boundaries are affected by changing permafrost conditions, peat formation, sedimentation, human land use, and shoreline displacement.
了解在景观层面上长期的非生物和生物过程是如何联系在一起的，对于分析当前社会规划对人类和环境的未来影响具有重要意义。本文利用瑞典沿海地区多学科工作的结果，旨在描述未来的景观发展。首先，基于当前和历史数据，我们确定气候变化、海岸线移动以及堆积/侵蚀过程是景观发展的主要驱动因素。其次，将特定地点的信息与斯堪的纳维亚地区的数据相结合，建立模型来描述这些确定的过程如何随时间影响该地点的发展。最后，将过程模型组合起来描述整个间冰期。通过本文，我们展示了景观和生态系统边界如何受到不断变化的永冻条件、泥炭形成、沉积、人类土地利用和海岸线移动的影响。
