Department of Dermatology, University Medical Center, Tübingen, Germany.
PLoS One. 2013 Apr 29;8(4):e63137. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0063137. Print 2013.
Prognosis of patients with loco-regional skin metastases has not been analyzed in detail and the presence or absence of concurrent lymph node metastasis represents the only established prognostic factor thus far. Most studies were limited to patients already presenting with skin lesions at the time of initial diagnosis. We aimed to analyze the impact of a broad penal of prognostic factors in patients with skin metastases at the time of first metastatic spread, including patients with synchronous lesions already present at the time of initial diagnosis, stage I/II patients with loco-regional recurrence and patients initially presenting with skin metastasis but unknown primary melanoma.
We investigated disease-specific survival of 380 patients treated at our department between 1996 and 2010 using Kaplan Meier survival probabilities and Cox-proportional hazard analysis.
Five-year survival probability was 60.1% for patients with skin metastases only and 36.3% for those with synchronous nodal metastases. The number of involved nodes and a tumor thickness of at least 3 mm had independent negative impact on prognosis. A strong relationship was identified between the risk of death and the number of involved nodes. Neither ulceration nor the timing of the first occurrence of metastases as either in stage I/II patients, at the time of excision of the primary melanoma or initially in patients with unknown primary tumor, had additional effects on survival.
Lymph node involvement was confirmed as the most important prognostic factor for melanoma patients with loco-regional skin metastasis including those with unknown primary tumor and stage I/II patients with skin recurrence. Consideration of the tumor thickness and of the number of involved lymph nodes instead of the exclusive differentiation into presence vs. absence of nodal disease may allow a more accurate prediction of prognosis for patients with satellite or in-transit metastases.
局部皮肤转移患者的预后尚未得到详细分析,目前唯一确定的预后因素是是否存在同时性淋巴结转移。大多数研究仅限于初始诊断时已出现皮肤病变的患者。我们旨在分析广泛预后因素对首次转移时出现皮肤转移的患者的影响,包括初始诊断时已存在同步病变的患者、局部区域复发的 I/II 期患者以及最初表现为皮肤转移但原发灶不明的黑色素瘤患者。
我们使用 Kaplan-Meier 生存概率和 Cox 比例风险分析,调查了我们科室 1996 年至 2010 年间治疗的 380 例患者的疾病特异性生存率。
仅出现皮肤转移的患者 5 年生存率为 60.1%,同时存在淋巴结转移的患者为 36.3%。受累淋巴结数量和肿瘤厚度至少 3 毫米对预后有独立的负面影响。死亡风险与受累淋巴结数量之间存在很强的关系。无论是在 I/II 期患者中,在切除原发黑色素瘤时,还是在最初原发灶不明的患者中,皮肤转移的首次发生是同步性的,溃疡或转移时间均对生存无额外影响。
淋巴结受累被确认为包括原发灶不明和局部区域皮肤复发的 I/II 期患者在内的局部皮肤转移黑色素瘤患者最重要的预后因素。考虑肿瘤厚度和受累淋巴结数量,而不是单纯区分是否存在淋巴结疾病,可能更准确地预测卫星或转移灶患者的预后。