Center for Biology of Natural Systems, Queens College, City University of New York, New York, NY 11367, USA.
Am J Public Health. 2013 Jul;103(7):e17-22. doi: 10.2105/AJPH.2013.301227. Epub 2013 May 16.
In 1906 Arthur Newsholme linked artificial feeding and fatal diarrhea in infants aged one year and younger on the basis of two independent sources of information: mortality registration and a three-year (1903-1905) census of infants from Brighton, United Kingdom. Artificial feeding was more common in the infants who had died (89.3%) than in those in the survey (22.3%). However, boldly assuming the two data sources were nested, Newsholme computed the risks of fatal diarrhea: these were 48 times greater for infants fed fresh cow's milk and 94 times greater for those fed condensed milk than for infants who were exclusively breastfed. This mode of computing risks and risk ratios before the invention of the cohort study design was more innovative than was the usual investigation techniques of his contemporary epidemiologists. Newsholme's conclusions were consistent with the current knowledge that breastfeeding protects against fatal diarrhea.
1906 年,亚瑟·纽舒姆(Arthur Newsholme)基于两个独立的信息来源,将一岁及以下婴儿的人工喂养与致命性腹泻联系起来:死亡率登记和英国布莱顿(Brighton)为期三年(1903-1905 年)的婴儿普查。死亡婴儿(89.3%)的人工喂养更为常见,而调查中的婴儿(22.3%)则不然。然而,纽舒姆大胆地假设这两个数据源是嵌套的,他计算了致命性腹泻的风险:用新鲜牛奶喂养的婴儿的风险是纯母乳喂养婴儿的 48 倍,用浓缩牛奶喂养的婴儿的风险是纯母乳喂养婴儿的 94 倍。在队列研究设计发明之前,这种计算风险和风险比的方式比他同时代的流行病学家的常用调查技术更具创新性。纽舒姆的结论与当前的知识一致,即母乳喂养可预防致命性腹泻。