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冰盖物质平衡与气候变化。

Ice-sheet mass balance and climate change.

机构信息

Department of Geography, University of Sheffield, Sheffield S10 2TN, UK.

出版信息

Nature. 2013 Jun 6;498(7452):51-9. doi: 10.1038/nature12238.

Abstract

Since the 2007 Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change Fourth Assessment Report, new observations of ice-sheet mass balance and improved computer simulations of ice-sheet response to continuing climate change have been published. Whereas Greenland is losing ice mass at an increasing pace, current Antarctic ice loss is likely to be less than some recently published estimates. It remains unclear whether East Antarctica has been gaining or losing ice mass over the past 20 years, and uncertainties in ice-mass change for West Antarctica and the Antarctic Peninsula remain large. We discuss the past six years of progress and examine the key problems that remain.

摘要

自 2007 年政府间气候变化专门委员会第四次评估报告以来,已经发表了新的关于冰盖质量平衡的观测结果和对冰盖对持续气候变化的响应的改进计算机模拟。虽然格陵兰岛的冰质量正在以越来越快的速度流失,但目前南极冰的损失可能小于最近发表的一些估计。在过去的 20 年里,东南极洲的冰质量是增加了还是减少了,仍然不清楚,而对西南极洲和南极半岛的冰质量变化的不确定性仍然很大。我们讨论了过去六年的进展,并研究了仍然存在的关键问题。

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