Allen B L, West P
The University of Queensland, School of Agriculture and Food Sciences, Gatton, Queensland, Australia.
Aust Vet J. 2013 Jul;91(7):261-7. doi: 10.1111/avj.12075.
To describe the influence of the dingo (Canis lupus dingo) on the past, present and future distributions of sheep in Australia.
The role of the dingo in the rise and fall of sheep numbers is reviewed, revised data are provided on the present distribution and density of sheep and dingoes, and historical patterns of sheep distribution are used to explore the future of rangeland sheep grazing.
Dingoes are a critical causal factor in the distribution of sheep at the national, regional and local levels. Dingo predation contributed substantially to the historical contraction of the sheep industry to its present-day distribution, which is almost exclusively confined to areas within fenced dingo exclusion zones. Dingo populations and/or their influence are now present and increasing in all sheep production zones of Australia, inclusive of areas that were once 'dingo free'.
Rangeland production of wool and sheep meat is predicted to disappear within 30-40 years if the present rate of contraction of the industry continues unabated. Understanding the influence of dingoes on sheep production may help refine disease response strategies and help predict the future distribution of sheep and their diseases.
描述澳洲野犬(Canis lupus dingo)对澳大利亚绵羊过去、现在及未来分布情况的影响。
回顾澳洲野犬在绵羊数量增减中所起的作用,提供有关绵羊和澳洲野犬当前分布及密度的修正数据,并利用绵羊分布的历史模式来探索牧区绵羊放牧的未来情况。
在国家、区域和地方层面,澳洲野犬都是影响绵羊分布的关键因素。澳洲野犬的捕食在很大程度上导致了绵羊产业从历史范围收缩至如今的分布区域,如今绵羊产业几乎完全局限于设有野犬围栏禁入区的区域内。现在,澳洲野犬种群及其影响在澳大利亚所有绵羊生产区都存在且不断增加,包括那些曾经“无野犬”的地区。
如果该产业目前的收缩速度持续不减,预计牧区羊毛和羊肉生产将在30至40年内消失。了解澳洲野犬对绵羊生产的影响可能有助于完善疾病应对策略,并有助于预测绵羊及其疾病的未来分布。