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大麻使用、就业与收入:面板数据的固定效应分析

Cannabis use, employment, and income: fixed-effects analysis of panel data.

作者信息

Popovici Ioana, French Michael T

机构信息

Department of Sociobehavioral and Administrative Pharmacy, College of Pharmacy, Nova Southeastern University, 3200 South University Drive, Fort Lauderdale, FL, 33328-2018, USA,

出版信息

J Behav Health Serv Res. 2014 Apr;41(2):185-202. doi: 10.1007/s11414-013-9349-8.

Abstract

Uncertainty exists regarding the direction and magnitude of the association between cannabis use and labor market outcomes. Using panel data from waves 1 and 2 of the National Epidemiological Survey of Alcohol and Related Conditions, the current paper estimates the associations between several patterns of cannabis use during the past year, current employment, and annual personal income. In the single-equation models (wave 2 data), nearly all patterns of cannabis use are significantly associated with worse labor market outcomes (p < 0.05). However, when using fixed-effects techniques to address unobserved and time-invariant individual heterogeneity, the estimates are generally smaller in magnitude and less likely to be statistically significant vis-à-vis the benchmark estimates. These findings suggest that unobserved individual heterogeneity is an important source of bias in models of cannabis use and labor market outcomes. Moreover, cannabis use may be less detrimental in the labor market than other studies have reported.

摘要

大麻使用与劳动力市场结果之间关联的方向和程度存在不确定性。利用全国酒精及相关疾病流行病学调查第1波和第2波的面板数据,本文估计了过去一年中几种大麻使用模式、当前就业情况和年度个人收入之间的关联。在单方程模型(第2波数据)中,几乎所有大麻使用模式都与较差的劳动力市场结果显著相关(p < 0.05)。然而,当使用固定效应技术来处理未观察到的和时间不变的个体异质性时,相对于基准估计,这些估计的幅度通常较小,且不太可能具有统计学意义。这些发现表明,未观察到的个体异质性是大麻使用和劳动力市场结果模型中偏差的一个重要来源。此外,大麻使用对劳动力市场的不利影响可能比其他研究报告的要小。

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