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道路使用者行为的博弈论模型综述。

A review of game-theoretic models of road user behaviour.

机构信息

Institute of Transport Economics, Gaustadalleen 21, NO-0349 Oslo, Norway.

出版信息

Accid Anal Prev. 2014 Jan;62:388-96. doi: 10.1016/j.aap.2013.06.016. Epub 2013 Jun 21.

Abstract

This paper reviews game-theoretic models that have been developed to explain road user behaviour in situations where road users interact with each other. The paper includes the following game-theoretic models: 1.A general model of the interaction between road users and their possible reaction to measures improving safety (behavioural adaptation).2.Choice of vehicle size as a Prisoners’ dilemma game.3.Speed choice as a co-ordination game.4.Speed compliance as a game between drivers and the police.5.Merging into traffic from an acceleration lane as a mixed-strategy game.6.Choice of level of attention in following situations as an evolutionary game.7.Choice of departure time to avoid congestion as variant of a Prisoners’ dilemma game.8.Interaction between cyclists crossing the road and car drivers.9.Dipping headlights at night well ahead of the point when glare becomes noticeable.10.Choice of evasive action in a situation when cars are on collision course. The models reviewed are different in many respects, but a common feature of the models is that they can explain how informal norms of behaviour can develop among road users and be sustained even if these informal norms violate the formal regulations of the traffic code. Game-theoretic models are not applicable to every conceivable interaction between road users or to situations in which road users choose behaviour without interacting with other road users. Nevertheless, it is likely that game-theoretic models can be applied more widely than they have been until now.

摘要

本文回顾了一些博弈论模型,这些模型旨在解释在道路使用者相互作用的情况下,道路使用者的行为。本文包括以下博弈论模型:1. 道路使用者之间相互作用及其对提高安全性措施可能反应的一般模型(行为适应)。2. 作为囚徒困境博弈的车辆尺寸选择。3. 作为协调博弈的速度选择。4. 作为驾驶员与警察之间博弈的速度合规性。5. 从加速车道汇入交通流作为混合策略博弈。6. 在注意水平选择作为进化博弈的情况下。7. 选择出发时间以避免拥堵作为囚徒困境博弈的变体。8. 自行车手与汽车司机在道路交叉口的交互作用。9. 在眩目变得明显之前,提前调暗前照灯。10. 在汽车即将发生碰撞的情况下,选择避险动作。所回顾的模型在许多方面都有所不同,但这些模型的一个共同特征是,它们可以解释非正式行为规范如何在道路使用者中发展,并在即使这些非正式规范违反交通法规的情况下得以维持。博弈论模型并不适用于道路使用者之间的每一种可以想象的相互作用,也不适用于道路使用者在没有与其他道路使用者相互作用的情况下选择行为的情况。尽管如此,博弈论模型可能比迄今为止的应用范围更广。

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