Shakhanina I L, Kucherovbskaia T V, Chernova T P
Zh Mikrobiol Epidemiol Immunobiol. 1990 May(5):43-7.
To solve the problems connected with the evaluation of the seasonal and territorial distribution of infectious diseases, indications and limitations for the use of the following statistical methods have been worked out: the calculation of the monthly morbidity level, the proportion of cases of infectious diseases falling on the months of seasonal morbidity rises, the proportion of such cases appearing due to the influence of seasonal factors, the total and partial indices, the average monthly rate of increase in seasonal morbidity, the complex evaluation of seasonal morbidity, the evaluation of the nonparallelism of two curves, the determination of the mean quadratic deviations and Shannon's entropy. The algorithms based on these methods lie in the foundation of 11 computer programs, forming the software complex "Epidanalysis" and provided with the service menu permitting an epidemiologist to proceed from the task via indications and limitations to the corresponding program. The programs are intended for different types of computers (IBM PC XT, EC-1640, Robotron 1715).
为解决与传染病季节性和地域分布评估相关的问题,已制定了以下统计方法的使用指征和局限性:计算每月发病率水平、传染病病例在季节性发病上升月份的占比、因季节性因素影响而出现的此类病例的占比、总和部分指数、季节性发病率的月平均增长率、季节性发病率的综合评估、两条曲线非平行性的评估、均方偏差的测定以及香农熵。基于这些方法的算法是11个计算机程序的基础,这些程序构成了软件综合体“Epidanalysis”,并配有服务菜单,使流行病学家能够根据指征和局限性从任务出发选择相应程序。这些程序适用于不同类型的计算机(IBM PC XT、EC - 1640、Robotron 1715)。