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对所有原因、癌症和心血管疾病的咖啡消耗与死亡率的前瞻性研究进行的荟萃分析。

A meta-analysis of prospective studies of coffee consumption and mortality for all causes, cancers and cardiovascular diseases.

机构信息

Department of Epidemiology, IRCCS, Istituto di Ricerche Farmacologiche Mario Negri, Via G. La Masa 19, 20157, Milan, Italy.

出版信息

Eur J Epidemiol. 2013 Jul;28(7):527-39. doi: 10.1007/s10654-013-9834-7. Epub 2013 Aug 11.

Abstract

Several prospective studies considered the relation between coffee consumption and mortality. Most studies, however, were underpowered to detect an association, since they included relatively few deaths. To obtain quantitative overall estimates, we combined all published data from prospective studies on the relation of coffee with mortality for all causes, all cancers, cardiovascular disease (CVD), coronary/ischemic heart disease (CHD/IHD) and stroke. A bibliography search, updated to January 2013, was carried out in PubMed and Embase to identify prospective observational studies providing quantitative estimates on mortality from all causes, cancer, CVD, CHD/IHD or stroke in relation to coffee consumption. A systematic review and meta-analysis was conducted to estimate overall relative risks (RR) and 95 % confidence intervals (CI) using random-effects models. The pooled RRs of all cause mortality for the study-specific highest versus low (≤1 cup/day) coffee drinking categories were 0.88 (95 % CI 0.84-0.93) based on all the 23 studies, and 0.87 (95 % CI 0.82-0.93) for the 19 smoking adjusting studies. The combined RRs for CVD mortality were 0.89 (95 % CI 0.77-1.02, 17 smoking adjusting studies) for the highest versus low drinking and 0.98 (95 % CI 0.95-1.00, 16 studies) for the increment of 1 cup/day. Compared with low drinking, the RRs for the highest consumption of coffee were 0.95 (95 % CI 0.78-1.15, 12 smoking adjusting studies) for CHD/IHD, 0.95 (95 % CI 0.70-1.29, 6 studies) for stroke, and 1.03 (95 % CI 0.97-1.10, 10 studies) for all cancers. This meta-analysis provides quantitative evidence that coffee intake is inversely related to all cause and, probably, CVD mortality.

摘要

几项前瞻性研究考虑了咖啡消费与死亡率之间的关系。然而,大多数研究由于纳入的死亡人数相对较少,因此没有足够的能力来检测这种关联。为了获得定量的总体估计值,我们结合了所有已发表的关于咖啡与所有原因、所有癌症、心血管疾病(CVD)、冠心病/缺血性心脏病(CHD/IHD)和中风死亡率之间关系的前瞻性研究数据。我们在 PubMed 和 Embase 中进行了文献检索,更新至 2013 年 1 月,以确定提供有关咖啡消费与死亡率之间关系的所有原因、癌症、CVD、CHD/IHD 或中风的定量估计值的前瞻性观察性研究。我们进行了系统评价和荟萃分析,使用随机效应模型估计总体相对风险(RR)和 95%置信区间(CI)。基于 23 项研究,研究特定的最高与最低(≤1 杯/天)咖啡饮用类别之间所有原因死亡率的汇总 RR 为 0.88(95%CI 0.84-0.93),而 19 项调整吸烟因素的研究为 0.87(95%CI 0.82-0.93)。最高与最低饮酒组的 CVD 死亡率合并 RR 分别为 0.89(95%CI 0.77-1.02,17 项调整吸烟因素的研究)和 0.98(95%CI 0.95-1.00,16 项研究),而每天增加 1 杯咖啡的 RR 为 0.98(95%CI 0.95-1.00,16 项研究)。与低饮酒相比,最高咖啡消费的 RR 分别为 CHD/IHD 为 0.95(95%CI 0.78-1.15,12 项调整吸烟因素的研究)、中风为 0.95(95%CI 0.70-1.29,6 项研究)和所有癌症为 1.03(95%CI 0.97-1.10,10 项研究)。这项荟萃分析提供了定量证据,表明咖啡摄入与所有原因死亡率,可能还有 CVD 死亡率呈负相关。

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