Newcombe Robert G, Bender Ralf
Cochrane Institute of Primary Care & Public Health, Cardiff University, , Cardiff, Wales, UK;
Evid Based Med. 2014 Feb;19(1):6-8. doi: 10.1136/eb-2013-101340. Epub 2013 Aug 22.
A key step in implementing the GRADE (Grading of Recommendations Assessment, Development and Evaluation) system is the estimation of a risk difference based on estimates of the baseline risk and the relative risk estimated from different sources. In this paper we describe a simple and effective method to calculate confidence intervals (CIs) for the risk difference for this situation. Whenever an independent source is available to estimate the baseline risk for the population to which the effect estimates should be applied, this source should be used and CIs for the absolute risk difference should be calculated taking all sources of uncertainty into account.
实施GRADE(推荐分级评估、制定与评价)系统的关键步骤是基于基线风险估计值和从不同来源估计的相对风险来估计风险差值。在本文中,我们描述了一种简单有效的方法,用于计算这种情况下风险差值的置信区间(CI)。只要有独立来源可用于估计效应估计值所适用人群的基线风险,就应使用该来源,并在考虑所有不确定性来源的情况下计算绝对风险差值的CI。